Latest forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a daily high near 32°C in Chengdu on June 14, aligning with the market's dominant 72% implied probability for that exact outcome. Early summer monsoon conditions, elevated humidity, and regional cloud cover or scattered showers typically moderate peak temperatures in the Sichuan Basin, limiting outliers above 33°C. Historical June averages of 28–31°C and model consensus on stable atmospheric patterns further anchor trader expectations around this range, with only modest probabilities assigned to cooler or hotter extremes based on potential forecast revisions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 14?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 14?
32°C 72%
33°C 24%
34°C 3.9%
31°C or below 1.0%
$24,860 ปริมาณ
$24,860 ปริมาณ
Jun 14, 2026
31°C or below
1%
32°C
72%
33°C
24%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
32°C 72%
33°C 24%
34°C 3.9%
31°C or below 1.0%
$24,860 ปริมาณ
$24,860 ปริมาณ
Jun 14, 2026
31°C or below
$6,863 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$2,402 ปริมาณ
72%
33°C
$4,521 ปริมาณ
24%
34°C
$2,246 ปริมาณ
4%
35°C
$2,452 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C
$3,458 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C
$2,024 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C
$2,505 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C
$599 ปริมาณ
<1%
40°C
$660 ปริมาณ
<1%
41°C or higher
$558 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a daily high near 32°C in Chengdu on June 14, aligning with the market's dominant 72% implied probability for that exact outcome. Early summer monsoon conditions, elevated humidity, and regional cloud cover or scattered showers typically moderate peak temperatures in the Sichuan Basin, limiting outliers above 33°C. Historical June averages of 28–31°C and model consensus on stable atmospheric patterns further anchor trader expectations around this range, with only modest probabilities assigned to cooler or hotter extremes based on potential forecast revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 12, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,860วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 12:18 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a daily high near 32°C in Chengdu on June 14, aligning with the market's dominant 72% implied probability for that exact outcome. Early summer monsoon conditions, elevated humidity, and regional cloud cover or scattered showers typically moderate peak temperatures in the Sichuan Basin, limiting outliers above 33°C. Historical June averages of 28–31°C and model consensus on stable atmospheric patterns further anchor trader expectations around this range, with only modest probabilities assigned to cooler or hotter extremes based on potential forecast revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,860วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 12:18 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a daily high near 32°C in Chengdu on June 14, aligning with the market's dominant 72% implied probability for that exact outcome. Early summer monsoon conditions, elevated humidity, and regional cloud cover or scattered showers typically moderate peak temperatures in the Sichuan Basin, limiting outliers above 33°C. Historical June averages of 28–31°C and model consensus on stable atmospheric patterns further anchor trader expectations around this range, with only modest probabilities assigned to cooler or hotter extremes based on potential forecast revisions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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