Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance for June 16, 2026, points to a building high-pressure ridge over southern England, supporting daytime maxima near 25–26 °C in central London. Ensemble spreads remain modest but reflect lingering uncertainty in the precise timing of any warm-air advection and cloud cover, which explains why the 25 °C and 26 °C contracts trade within a few percentage points of each other. Historical June climatology places the long-term average high at roughly 20–21 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly; however, model runs still allow for modest cooling if Atlantic fronts advance earlier than expected. Updated short-range forecasts and midday observations on June 15 will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on June 16?
Highest temperature in London on June 16?
25°C 33%
26°C 30%
24°C 19%
27°C 6.7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 16, 2026
22°C or below
3%
23°C
6%
24°C
19%
25°C
33%
26°C
30%
27°C
7%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 33%
26°C 30%
24°C 19%
27°C 6.7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 16, 2026
22°C or below
$72 ปริมาณ
3%
23°C
$46 ปริมาณ
6%
24°C
$951 ปริมาณ
19%
25°C
$346 ปริมาณ
33%
26°C
$170 ปริมาณ
30%
27°C
$1,036 ปริมาณ
7%
28°C
$1,014 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$248 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$170 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$186 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$434 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance for June 16, 2026, points to a building high-pressure ridge over southern England, supporting daytime maxima near 25–26 °C in central London. Ensemble spreads remain modest but reflect lingering uncertainty in the precise timing of any warm-air advection and cloud cover, which explains why the 25 °C and 26 °C contracts trade within a few percentage points of each other. Historical June climatology places the long-term average high at roughly 20–21 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly; however, model runs still allow for modest cooling if Atlantic fronts advance earlier than expected. Updated short-range forecasts and midday observations on June 15 will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,648วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance for June 16, 2026, points to a building high-pressure ridge over southern England, supporting daytime maxima near 25–26 °C in central London. Ensemble spreads remain modest but reflect lingering uncertainty in the precise timing of any warm-air advection and cloud cover, which explains why the 25 °C and 26 °C contracts trade within a few percentage points of each other. Historical June climatology places the long-term average high at roughly 20–21 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly; however, model runs still allow for modest cooling if Atlantic fronts advance earlier than expected. Updated short-range forecasts and midday observations on June 15 will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,648วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance for June 16, 2026, points to a building high-pressure ridge over southern England, supporting daytime maxima near 25–26 °C in central London. Ensemble spreads remain modest but reflect lingering uncertainty in the precise timing of any warm-air advection and cloud cover, which explains why the 25 °C and 26 °C contracts trade within a few percentage points of each other. Historical June climatology places the long-term average high at roughly 20–21 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly; however, model runs still allow for modest cooling if Atlantic fronts advance earlier than expected. Updated short-range forecasts and midday observations on June 15 will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย