Recent Met Office and European model runs point to variable cloud cover and light southerly winds limiting radiative heating over London on June 15, keeping the daily maximum in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 22°C and 23°C. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in the precise timing of any thicker cloud or sea-breeze effects that could shave 1–2°C off peak values, while clearer spells would support the upper end near 24°C. This aligns with climatological June averages of 19–21°C but follows a period of above-normal warmth earlier in the month. Final guidance and real-time observations from the Met Office on the morning of June 15 will determine resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on June 15?
22°C 40%
23°C 37%
21°C 13%
24°C or higher 9.3%
$20,856 ปริมาณ
$20,856 ปริมาณ
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
13%
22°C
40%
23°C
37%
24°C or higher
9%
22°C 40%
23°C 37%
21°C 13%
24°C or higher 9.3%
$20,856 ปริมาณ
$20,856 ปริมาณ
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
13%
22°C
40%
23°C
37%
24°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and European model runs point to variable cloud cover and light southerly winds limiting radiative heating over London on June 15, keeping the daily maximum in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 22°C and 23°C. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in the precise timing of any thicker cloud or sea-breeze effects that could shave 1–2°C off peak values, while clearer spells would support the upper end near 24°C. This aligns with climatological June averages of 19–21°C but follows a period of above-normal warmth earlier in the month. Final guidance and real-time observations from the Met Office on the morning of June 15 will determine resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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