Current forecast guidance from MetService and other models points to a maximum of 11–13°C for Wellington on June 16, with southerly flows and possible morning showers limiting daytime warming before any afternoon northwesterly shift. This aligns with the closely matched market odds favoring 12°C or 13°C while assigning meaningful probability to 11°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact wind timing and cloud cover that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 1–2°C. June climatology shows average highs near 13°C, and NIWA’s seasonal outlook indicated near-average conditions overall, though recent early-month warmth highlights potential for brief anomalies. Updated model runs and the next MetService briefing remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on June 16?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 16?
13°C 40%
12°C 36%
11°C 19%
14°C 4.8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 16, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
4%
11°C
19%
12°C
36%
13°C
40%
14°C
5%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 40%
12°C 36%
11°C 19%
14°C 4.8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 16, 2026
7°C or below
$126 ปริมาณ
<1%
8°C
$72 ปริมาณ
<1%
9°C
$59 ปริมาณ
1%
10°C
$82 ปริมาณ
4%
11°C
$271 ปริมาณ
19%
12°C
$385 ปริมาณ
36%
13°C
$787 ปริมาณ
40%
14°C
$1,318 ปริมาณ
5%
15°C
$372 ปริมาณ
3%
16°C
$31 ปริมาณ
1%
17°C or higher
$115 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from MetService and other models points to a maximum of 11–13°C for Wellington on June 16, with southerly flows and possible morning showers limiting daytime warming before any afternoon northwesterly shift. This aligns with the closely matched market odds favoring 12°C or 13°C while assigning meaningful probability to 11°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact wind timing and cloud cover that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 1–2°C. June climatology shows average highs near 13°C, and NIWA’s seasonal outlook indicated near-average conditions overall, though recent early-month warmth highlights potential for brief anomalies. Updated model runs and the next MetService briefing remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,602วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from MetService and other models points to a maximum of 11–13°C for Wellington on June 16, with southerly flows and possible morning showers limiting daytime warming before any afternoon northwesterly shift. This aligns with the closely matched market odds favoring 12°C or 13°C while assigning meaningful probability to 11°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact wind timing and cloud cover that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 1–2°C. June climatology shows average highs near 13°C, and NIWA’s seasonal outlook indicated near-average conditions overall, though recent early-month warmth highlights potential for brief anomalies. Updated model runs and the next MetService briefing remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,602วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from MetService and other models points to a maximum of 11–13°C for Wellington on June 16, with southerly flows and possible morning showers limiting daytime warming before any afternoon northwesterly shift. This aligns with the closely matched market odds favoring 12°C or 13°C while assigning meaningful probability to 11°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact wind timing and cloud cover that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 1–2°C. June climatology shows average highs near 13°C, and NIWA’s seasonal outlook indicated near-average conditions overall, though recent early-month warmth highlights potential for brief anomalies. Updated model runs and the next MetService briefing remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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