Persistent cloud cover and light precipitation during Shanghai’s early Meiyu season have kept overnight radiative cooling limited, anchoring minimum temperatures near 20–21 °C according to the latest consensus of regional forecast models. These conditions, typical for mid-June, suppress the diurnal temperature range and align closely with the 98.6 % market-implied probability for a 20 °C low. Official observations from the Shanghai meteorological station will determine resolution, so any last-hour clearing that permits stronger surface cooling or an unexpected shift in wind direction could push the reading below 20 °C, though current model agreement makes such deviations unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 14?
20°C 98.6%
19°C <1%
18°C <1%
17°C or below <1%
$53,347 ปริมาณ
$53,347 ปริมาณ
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
20°C 98.6%
19°C <1%
18°C <1%
17°C or below <1%
$53,347 ปริมาณ
$53,347 ปริมาณ
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and light precipitation during Shanghai’s early Meiyu season have kept overnight radiative cooling limited, anchoring minimum temperatures near 20–21 °C according to the latest consensus of regional forecast models. These conditions, typical for mid-June, suppress the diurnal temperature range and align closely with the 98.6 % market-implied probability for a 20 °C low. Official observations from the Shanghai meteorological station will determine resolution, so any last-hour clearing that permits stronger surface cooling or an unexpected shift in wind direction could push the reading below 20 °C, though current model agreement makes such deviations unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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