Recent numerical weather model consensus, including global ensembles, indicates Shanghai's overnight low on June 15 will most likely settle near 22°C amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the market's leading implied probabilities for 22°C (41.5%) and 23°C (31.5%), as current guidance clusters tightly between 21–24°C with low spread. Mid-June climatology shows average lows near 21–22°C, while ongoing overcast skies and moisture from the East Asian monsoon further suppress temperature drops compared to clearer nights. Updated model runs ahead of the overnight period represent the key upcoming data point that could shift these trader-weighted odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?
22°C 42%
23°C 32%
24°C 11%
21°C 10.1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 15, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
10%
22°C
42%
23°C
32%
24°C
17%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 42%
23°C 32%
24°C 11%
21°C 10.1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 15, 2026
17°C or below
$27 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$27 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C
$51 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C
$11 ปริมาณ
5%
21°C
$32 ปริมาณ
10%
22°C
$26 ปริมาณ
42%
23°C
$3 ปริมาณ
32%
24°C
$18 ปริมาณ
17%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
26°C
$37 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C or higher
$277 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus, including global ensembles, indicates Shanghai's overnight low on June 15 will most likely settle near 22°C amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the market's leading implied probabilities for 22°C (41.5%) and 23°C (31.5%), as current guidance clusters tightly between 21–24°C with low spread. Mid-June climatology shows average lows near 21–22°C, while ongoing overcast skies and moisture from the East Asian monsoon further suppress temperature drops compared to clearer nights. Updated model runs ahead of the overnight period represent the key upcoming data point that could shift these trader-weighted odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$508วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus, including global ensembles, indicates Shanghai's overnight low on June 15 will most likely settle near 22°C amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the market's leading implied probabilities for 22°C (41.5%) and 23°C (31.5%), as current guidance clusters tightly between 21–24°C with low spread. Mid-June climatology shows average lows near 21–22°C, while ongoing overcast skies and moisture from the East Asian monsoon further suppress temperature drops compared to clearer nights. Updated model runs ahead of the overnight period represent the key upcoming data point that could shift these trader-weighted odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$508วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus, including global ensembles, indicates Shanghai's overnight low on June 15 will most likely settle near 22°C amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the market's leading implied probabilities for 22°C (41.5%) and 23°C (31.5%), as current guidance clusters tightly between 21–24°C with low spread. Mid-June climatology shows average lows near 21–22°C, while ongoing overcast skies and moisture from the East Asian monsoon further suppress temperature drops compared to clearer nights. Updated model runs ahead of the overnight period represent the key upcoming data point that could shift these trader-weighted odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย