Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a highest temperature in the mid-80s for Houston on June 15, anchoring the strongest market-implied odds on 86-87°F. Key variables include southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture, which limits daytime heating, combined with scattered afternoon cloud cover and sea-breeze effects that cap peak readings near official stations such as Hobby Airport. Historical climatology shows early-June maxima averaging near 90°F, yet current steering patterns and higher-than-normal precipitable water favor the cooler side of that range. Minor upward shifts remain possible if clearer skies allow stronger insolation or if model runs trend drier overnight; conversely, stronger convection or increased low-level moisture could suppress readings into the low-to-mid 80s. Traders weigh these short-term forecast revisions heavily given the market's imminent resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Houston on June 15?
Highest temperature in Houston on June 15?
86-87°F 35%
84-85°F 25%
88-89°F 19%
90-91°F 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 15, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
35%
88-89°F
19%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
4%
94°F or higher
2%
86-87°F 35%
84-85°F 25%
88-89°F 19%
90-91°F 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 15, 2026
75°F or below
$21 ปริมาณ
<1%
76-77°F
$17 ปริมาณ
<1%
78-79°F
$426 ปริมาณ
1%
80-81°F
$247 ปริมาณ
1%
82-83°F
$78 ปริมาณ
6%
84-85°F
$55 ปริมาณ
25%
86-87°F
$103 ปริมาณ
35%
88-89°F
$211 ปริมาณ
19%
90-91°F
$490 ปริมาณ
10%
92-93°F
$327 ปริมาณ
4%
94°F or higher
$310 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a highest temperature in the mid-80s for Houston on June 15, anchoring the strongest market-implied odds on 86-87°F. Key variables include southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture, which limits daytime heating, combined with scattered afternoon cloud cover and sea-breeze effects that cap peak readings near official stations such as Hobby Airport. Historical climatology shows early-June maxima averaging near 90°F, yet current steering patterns and higher-than-normal precipitable water favor the cooler side of that range. Minor upward shifts remain possible if clearer skies allow stronger insolation or if model runs trend drier overnight; conversely, stronger convection or increased low-level moisture could suppress readings into the low-to-mid 80s. Traders weigh these short-term forecast revisions heavily given the market's imminent resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 13, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,140วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 9:05 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a highest temperature in the mid-80s for Houston on June 15, anchoring the strongest market-implied odds on 86-87°F. Key variables include southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture, which limits daytime heating, combined with scattered afternoon cloud cover and sea-breeze effects that cap peak readings near official stations such as Hobby Airport. Historical climatology shows early-June maxima averaging near 90°F, yet current steering patterns and higher-than-normal precipitable water favor the cooler side of that range. Minor upward shifts remain possible if clearer skies allow stronger insolation or if model runs trend drier overnight; conversely, stronger convection or increased low-level moisture could suppress readings into the low-to-mid 80s. Traders weigh these short-term forecast revisions heavily given the market's imminent resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,140วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 9:05 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a highest temperature in the mid-80s for Houston on June 15, anchoring the strongest market-implied odds on 86-87°F. Key variables include southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture, which limits daytime heating, combined with scattered afternoon cloud cover and sea-breeze effects that cap peak readings near official stations such as Hobby Airport. Historical climatology shows early-June maxima averaging near 90°F, yet current steering patterns and higher-than-normal precipitable water favor the cooler side of that range. Minor upward shifts remain possible if clearer skies allow stronger insolation or if model runs trend drier overnight; conversely, stronger convection or increased low-level moisture could suppress readings into the low-to-mid 80s. Traders weigh these short-term forecast revisions heavily given the market's imminent resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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