Recent forecast guidance from MetService New Zealand, incorporating northerly wind advection and updated numerical weather prediction runs, has driven strong trader consensus toward a 17°C maximum in Wellington on June 14. This places the day well above the June climatological average high of roughly 13°C while aligning with model consensus for modest warm-air transport under partly cloudy conditions. Key uncertainties remain around potential afternoon shower development or subtle wind shifts that could suppress or elevate the peak by 1°C, with official resolution depending on MetService station observations rather than models alone. Updated afternoon briefings and any late model revisions represent the main near-term catalysts that could shift the slim probability mass currently assigned to 18°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on June 14?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 14?
17°C 97.5%
18°C 2.5%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
ใหม่
$31,037 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$31,037 ปริมาณ
Jun 14, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
98%
18°C
3%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 97.5%
18°C 2.5%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
ใหม่
$31,037 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$31,037 ปริมาณ
Jun 14, 2026
11°C or below
$251 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$379 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$462 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$674 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$4,884 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$4,169 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$5,140 ปริมาณ
98%
18°C
$8,537 ปริมาณ
3%
19°C
$5,396 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$2,151 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C or higher
$359 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from MetService New Zealand, incorporating northerly wind advection and updated numerical weather prediction runs, has driven strong trader consensus toward a 17°C maximum in Wellington on June 14. This places the day well above the June climatological average high of roughly 13°C while aligning with model consensus for modest warm-air transport under partly cloudy conditions. Key uncertainties remain around potential afternoon shower development or subtle wind shifts that could suppress or elevate the peak by 1°C, with official resolution depending on MetService station observations rather than models alone. Updated afternoon briefings and any late model revisions represent the main near-term catalysts that could shift the slim probability mass currently assigned to 18°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,037วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from MetService New Zealand, incorporating northerly wind advection and updated numerical weather prediction runs, has driven strong trader consensus toward a 17°C maximum in Wellington on June 14. This places the day well above the June climatological average high of roughly 13°C while aligning with model consensus for modest warm-air transport under partly cloudy conditions. Key uncertainties remain around potential afternoon shower development or subtle wind shifts that could suppress or elevate the peak by 1°C, with official resolution depending on MetService station observations rather than models alone. Updated afternoon briefings and any late model revisions represent the main near-term catalysts that could shift the slim probability mass currently assigned to 18°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,037วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from MetService New Zealand, incorporating northerly wind advection and updated numerical weather prediction runs, has driven strong trader consensus toward a 17°C maximum in Wellington on June 14. This places the day well above the June climatological average high of roughly 13°C while aligning with model consensus for modest warm-air transport under partly cloudy conditions. Key uncertainties remain around potential afternoon shower development or subtle wind shifts that could suppress or elevate the peak by 1°C, with official resolution depending on MetService station observations rather than models alone. Updated afternoon briefings and any late model revisions represent the main near-term catalysts that could shift the slim probability mass currently assigned to 18°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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