National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance highlight a strong thermal ridge and offshore flow setting up a warm airmass over western Washington, driving Seattle-Tacoma International Airport highs into the upper 80s to low 90s on June 15. Model consensus centers near 89–91°F, sufficient to challenge the 88°F daily record from 1963, while variability in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind shifts, and any marine influence creates the tight spread across 86–91°F buckets in trader pricing. Recent heat advisories and above-normal temperature outlooks reinforce the elevated baseline, with resolution hinging on the official Sea-Tac observation amid typical forecast uncertainty ranges of a few degrees.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seattle on June 15?
88-89°F 30%
86-87°F 24%
90-91°F 18%
84-85°F 7%
83°F or below
4%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
24%
88-89°F
30%
90-91°F
18%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
1%
88-89°F 30%
86-87°F 24%
90-91°F 18%
84-85°F 7%
83°F or below
4%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
24%
88-89°F
30%
90-91°F
18%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance highlight a strong thermal ridge and offshore flow setting up a warm airmass over western Washington, driving Seattle-Tacoma International Airport highs into the upper 80s to low 90s on June 15. Model consensus centers near 89–91°F, sufficient to challenge the 88°F daily record from 1963, while variability in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind shifts, and any marine influence creates the tight spread across 86–91°F buckets in trader pricing. Recent heat advisories and above-normal temperature outlooks reinforce the elevated baseline, with resolution hinging on the official Sea-Tac observation amid typical forecast uncertainty ranges of a few degrees.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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