Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like the Hong Kong Observatory and international ensembles indicate a likely overnight minimum near 26°C on June 13, driven by expected cloud cover, light rain, and typical summer humidity that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading implied probability for 26°C while the spread across 25–28°C outcomes reflects forecast uncertainty from variable steering flows, potential thunderstorm timing, and urban heat retention in dense areas. Seasonal guidance points to above-normal temperatures overall for June–August 2026, yet short-term diurnal ranges remain sensitive to incoming moisture and wind patterns, with updated model runs and official briefings expected to refine resolution criteria before the close of trading.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 13?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 13?
26°C 35%
25°C 21%
27°C 21%
28°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 13, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
21%
26°C
35%
27°C
21%
28°C
16%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 35%
25°C 21%
27°C 21%
28°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 13, 2026
22°C or below
$157 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$27 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$146 ปริมาณ
5%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
26°C
$13 ปริมาณ
35%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
29°C
$27 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$27 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$27 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C or higher
$123 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like the Hong Kong Observatory and international ensembles indicate a likely overnight minimum near 26°C on June 13, driven by expected cloud cover, light rain, and typical summer humidity that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading implied probability for 26°C while the spread across 25–28°C outcomes reflects forecast uncertainty from variable steering flows, potential thunderstorm timing, and urban heat retention in dense areas. Seasonal guidance points to above-normal temperatures overall for June–August 2026, yet short-term diurnal ranges remain sensitive to incoming moisture and wind patterns, with updated model runs and official briefings expected to refine resolution criteria before the close of trading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$423วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like the Hong Kong Observatory and international ensembles indicate a likely overnight minimum near 26°C on June 13, driven by expected cloud cover, light rain, and typical summer humidity that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading implied probability for 26°C while the spread across 25–28°C outcomes reflects forecast uncertainty from variable steering flows, potential thunderstorm timing, and urban heat retention in dense areas. Seasonal guidance points to above-normal temperatures overall for June–August 2026, yet short-term diurnal ranges remain sensitive to incoming moisture and wind patterns, with updated model runs and official briefings expected to refine resolution criteria before the close of trading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$423วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like the Hong Kong Observatory and international ensembles indicate a likely overnight minimum near 26°C on June 13, driven by expected cloud cover, light rain, and typical summer humidity that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading implied probability for 26°C while the spread across 25–28°C outcomes reflects forecast uncertainty from variable steering flows, potential thunderstorm timing, and urban heat retention in dense areas. Seasonal guidance points to above-normal temperatures overall for June–August 2026, yet short-term diurnal ranges remain sensitive to incoming moisture and wind patterns, with updated model runs and official briefings expected to refine resolution criteria before the close of trading.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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