Current meteorological forecasts for Chengdu indicate a daily maximum near 29–30°C on June 11, aligning with the market’s tight clustering on those outcomes. This range reflects typical early-June climatology under the influence of the East Asian monsoon, where increased humidity, scattered cloud cover, and potential light showers moderate solar heating and suppress peaks above seasonal norms. Ensemble models show modest spread driven by uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon convection, while official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes partly cloudy conditions with limited intensification potential. Historical analogs confirm that days with similar synoptic patterns rarely exceed 31°C or fall below 28°C in mid-June, leaving the narrow 1–2°C window as the primary source of trader dispersion ahead of tomorrow’s official observation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 11?
30°C 28%
29°C 26%
31°C 16%
28°C 15%
$16,179 ปริมาณ
$16,179 ปริมาณ
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
15%
29°C
26%
30°C
28%
31°C
16%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 28%
29°C 26%
31°C 16%
28°C 15%
$16,179 ปริมาณ
$16,179 ปริมาณ
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
15%
29°C
26%
30°C
28%
31°C
16%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 9, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Chengdu indicate a daily maximum near 29–30°C on June 11, aligning with the market’s tight clustering on those outcomes. This range reflects typical early-June climatology under the influence of the East Asian monsoon, where increased humidity, scattered cloud cover, and potential light showers moderate solar heating and suppress peaks above seasonal norms. Ensemble models show modest spread driven by uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon convection, while official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes partly cloudy conditions with limited intensification potential. Historical analogs confirm that days with similar synoptic patterns rarely exceed 31°C or fall below 28°C in mid-June, leaving the narrow 1–2°C window as the primary source of trader dispersion ahead of tomorrow’s official observation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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