Numerical weather models from global ensembles show strong consensus for Shanghai’s overnight minimum temperature on June 12 settling near 21 °C, reflecting typical early-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity and limited radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance, including recent runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international centers, clusters tightly between 20–22 °C, aligning with historical June averages for the region and supporting the market’s overwhelming 99.8 % implied probability on the 21 °C outcome. Minor deviations remain possible if unexpected cloud cover changes or localized wind shifts alter nocturnal cooling rates, though current observational trends and ensemble spread indicate low likelihood of crossing into adjacent bins before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 12?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 12?
21°C 100.0%
20°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
$19,518 ปริมาณ
$19,518 ปริมาณ
Jun 12, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
20°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
$19,518 ปริมาณ
$19,518 ปริมาณ
Jun 12, 2026
16°C or below
$749 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$677 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$1,047 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$1,200 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$1,897 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$8,873 ปริมาณ
Yes
22°C
$1,022 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$2,138 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$707 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$501 ปริมาณ
No
26°C or higher
$708 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather models from global ensembles show strong consensus for Shanghai’s overnight minimum temperature on June 12 settling near 21 °C, reflecting typical early-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity and limited radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance, including recent runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international centers, clusters tightly between 20–22 °C, aligning with historical June averages for the region and supporting the market’s overwhelming 99.8 % implied probability on the 21 °C outcome. Minor deviations remain possible if unexpected cloud cover changes or localized wind shifts alter nocturnal cooling rates, though current observational trends and ensemble spread indicate low likelihood of crossing into adjacent bins before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,518วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather models from global ensembles show strong consensus for Shanghai’s overnight minimum temperature on June 12 settling near 21 °C, reflecting typical early-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity and limited radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance, including recent runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international centers, clusters tightly between 20–22 °C, aligning with historical June averages for the region and supporting the market’s overwhelming 99.8 % implied probability on the 21 °C outcome. Minor deviations remain possible if unexpected cloud cover changes or localized wind shifts alter nocturnal cooling rates, though current observational trends and ensemble spread indicate low likelihood of crossing into adjacent bins before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,518วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Numerical weather models from global ensembles show strong consensus for Shanghai’s overnight minimum temperature on June 12 settling near 21 °C, reflecting typical early-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity and limited radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance, including recent runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international centers, clusters tightly between 20–22 °C, aligning with historical June averages for the region and supporting the market’s overwhelming 99.8 % implied probability on the 21 °C outcome. Minor deviations remain possible if unexpected cloud cover changes or localized wind shifts alter nocturnal cooling rates, though current observational trends and ensemble spread indicate low likelihood of crossing into adjacent bins before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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