Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF and Météo-France shows a warm air mass persisting over northern France through June 16, supporting overnight lows centered near 19–20 °C in central Paris. Limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with light southerly flow and the urban heat-island effect, keeps minimum temperatures elevated relative to the June climatological average of 13–14 °C. Model spread remains modest, with slight differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing producing the narrow 28.5 %–24 % split between the two leading contracts; any shift in the 00 UTC or 12 UTC runs could quickly reallocate probability. Resolution will hinge on the official Météo-France minimum recorded at Parc Montsouris between 18:00 UTC June 15 and 06:00 UTC June 16.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on June 16?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 16?
19°C 28%
20°C 20%
17°C 8%
18°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 16, 2026
16°C or below
4%
17°C
8%
18°C
8%
19°C
28%
20°C
24%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
19°C 28%
20°C 20%
17°C 8%
18°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 16, 2026
16°C or below
$76 ปริมาณ
4%
17°C
$33 ปริมาณ
8%
18°C
$26 ปริมาณ
8%
19°C
$20 ปริมาณ
28%
20°C
$25 ปริมาณ
24%
21°C
$54 ปริมาณ
4%
22°C
$31 ปริมาณ
4%
23°C
$38 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$174 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$37 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C or higher
$80 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF and Météo-France shows a warm air mass persisting over northern France through June 16, supporting overnight lows centered near 19–20 °C in central Paris. Limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with light southerly flow and the urban heat-island effect, keeps minimum temperatures elevated relative to the June climatological average of 13–14 °C. Model spread remains modest, with slight differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing producing the narrow 28.5 %–24 % split between the two leading contracts; any shift in the 00 UTC or 12 UTC runs could quickly reallocate probability. Resolution will hinge on the official Météo-France minimum recorded at Parc Montsouris between 18:00 UTC June 15 and 06:00 UTC June 16.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$594วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF and Météo-France shows a warm air mass persisting over northern France through June 16, supporting overnight lows centered near 19–20 °C in central Paris. Limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with light southerly flow and the urban heat-island effect, keeps minimum temperatures elevated relative to the June climatological average of 13–14 °C. Model spread remains modest, with slight differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing producing the narrow 28.5 %–24 % split between the two leading contracts; any shift in the 00 UTC or 12 UTC runs could quickly reallocate probability. Resolution will hinge on the official Météo-France minimum recorded at Parc Montsouris between 18:00 UTC June 15 and 06:00 UTC June 16.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$594วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF and Météo-France shows a warm air mass persisting over northern France through June 16, supporting overnight lows centered near 19–20 °C in central Paris. Limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with light southerly flow and the urban heat-island effect, keeps minimum temperatures elevated relative to the June climatological average of 13–14 °C. Model spread remains modest, with slight differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing producing the narrow 28.5 %–24 % split between the two leading contracts; any shift in the 00 UTC or 12 UTC runs could quickly reallocate probability. Resolution will hinge on the official Météo-France minimum recorded at Parc Montsouris between 18:00 UTC June 15 and 06:00 UTC June 16.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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