Current numerical weather prediction ensembles, including recent ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate an overnight low of 13°C for Paris on June 14, driven by moderate radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds typical of mid-June anticyclonic conditions. Historical climatology supports this outcome, with average June lows near 12–14°C and minimal day-to-day variability at this time of year. The market-implied odds reflect tight model consensus and low forecast spread rather than certainty, as minor shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Final resolution depends on official station observations from Météo-France, with any late-day model updates offering the primary remaining catalyst for adjustment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on June 14?
13°C 99.7%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
12°C <1%
$12,144 ปริมาณ
$12,144 ปริมาณ
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.7%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
12°C <1%
$12,144 ปริมาณ
$12,144 ปริมาณ
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction ensembles, including recent ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate an overnight low of 13°C for Paris on June 14, driven by moderate radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds typical of mid-June anticyclonic conditions. Historical climatology supports this outcome, with average June lows near 12–14°C and minimal day-to-day variability at this time of year. The market-implied odds reflect tight model consensus and low forecast spread rather than certainty, as minor shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Final resolution depends on official station observations from Météo-France, with any late-day model updates offering the primary remaining catalyst for adjustment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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