Latest high-resolution forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicate Paris overnight lows will likely settle between 11–14 °C on 15 June, driven by clear anticyclonic conditions promoting radiative cooling after a mostly sunny day with light variable winds. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can alter minimum temperatures by 1–2 °C through changes in downward longwave radiation. Historical June climatology places average Paris minima near 13 °C, so current guidance aligns closely with seasonal norms while the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 11–13 °C reflects genuine ensemble uncertainty ahead of the final observational verification at Paris-Montsouris. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on June 15?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 15?
12°C 27%
11°C 23%
13°C 18%
14°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 15, 2026
10°C or below
4%
11°C
23%
12°C
23%
13°C
18%
14°C
11%
15°C
6%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
12°C 27%
11°C 23%
13°C 18%
14°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 15, 2026
10°C or below
$8 ปริมาณ
4%
11°C
$16 ปริมาณ
23%
12°C
$26 ปริมาณ
23%
13°C
$45 ปริมาณ
18%
14°C
$25 ปริมาณ
11%
15°C
$28 ปริมาณ
6%
16°C
$271 ปริมาณ
2%
17°C
$556 ปริมาณ
1%
18°C
$201 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C
$37 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C or higher
$32 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest high-resolution forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicate Paris overnight lows will likely settle between 11–14 °C on 15 June, driven by clear anticyclonic conditions promoting radiative cooling after a mostly sunny day with light variable winds. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can alter minimum temperatures by 1–2 °C through changes in downward longwave radiation. Historical June climatology places average Paris minima near 13 °C, so current guidance aligns closely with seasonal norms while the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 11–13 °C reflects genuine ensemble uncertainty ahead of the final observational verification at Paris-Montsouris. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,244วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest high-resolution forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicate Paris overnight lows will likely settle between 11–14 °C on 15 June, driven by clear anticyclonic conditions promoting radiative cooling after a mostly sunny day with light variable winds. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can alter minimum temperatures by 1–2 °C through changes in downward longwave radiation. Historical June climatology places average Paris minima near 13 °C, so current guidance aligns closely with seasonal norms while the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 11–13 °C reflects genuine ensemble uncertainty ahead of the final observational verification at Paris-Montsouris. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,244วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest high-resolution forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicate Paris overnight lows will likely settle between 11–14 °C on 15 June, driven by clear anticyclonic conditions promoting radiative cooling after a mostly sunny day with light variable winds. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can alter minimum temperatures by 1–2 °C through changes in downward longwave radiation. Historical June climatology places average Paris minima near 13 °C, so current guidance aligns closely with seasonal norms while the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 11–13 °C reflects genuine ensemble uncertainty ahead of the final observational verification at Paris-Montsouris. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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