Official observations from New York City weather stations on June 10, 2026, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 82–83 °F, driving the market’s 100 % implied probability for that bin. National Weather Service data confirmed this value under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover that limited afternoon mixing and allowed efficient surface heating without exceeding seasonal norms for early June. Model guidance issued the prior evening aligned closely with the eventual reading, leaving little room for revision once verified reports were released. Only an unexpected station calibration error or post-hoc quality-control adjustment could reopen other temperature ranges, an outcome that remains statistically remote given multiple independent sensors.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on June 10?
Highest temperature in NYC on June 10?
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$136,179 ปริมาณ
$136,179 ปริมาณ
Jun 10, 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$136,179 ปริมาณ
$136,179 ปริมาณ
Jun 10, 2026
71°F or below
$1,610 ปริมาณ
No
72-73°F
$4,985 ปริมาณ
No
74-75°F
$5,367 ปริมาณ
No
76-77°F
$11,471 ปริมาณ
No
78-79°F
$14,194 ปริมาณ
No
80-81°F
$14,885 ปริมาณ
No
82-83°F
$20,403 ปริมาณ
Yes
84-85°F
$25,512 ปริมาณ
No
86-87°F
$23,041 ปริมาณ
No
88-89°F
$8,523 ปริมาณ
No
90°F or higher
$6,188 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from New York City weather stations on June 10, 2026, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 82–83 °F, driving the market’s 100 % implied probability for that bin. National Weather Service data confirmed this value under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover that limited afternoon mixing and allowed efficient surface heating without exceeding seasonal norms for early June. Model guidance issued the prior evening aligned closely with the eventual reading, leaving little room for revision once verified reports were released. Only an unexpected station calibration error or post-hoc quality-control adjustment could reopen other temperature ranges, an outcome that remains statistically remote given multiple independent sensors.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 8, 2026, 11:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$136,179วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 8, 2026, 11:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from New York City weather stations on June 10, 2026, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 82–83 °F, driving the market’s 100 % implied probability for that bin. National Weather Service data confirmed this value under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover that limited afternoon mixing and allowed efficient surface heating without exceeding seasonal norms for early June. Model guidance issued the prior evening aligned closely with the eventual reading, leaving little room for revision once verified reports were released. Only an unexpected station calibration error or post-hoc quality-control adjustment could reopen other temperature ranges, an outcome that remains statistically remote given multiple independent sensors.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$136,179วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 8, 2026, 11:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from New York City weather stations on June 10, 2026, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 82–83 °F, driving the market’s 100 % implied probability for that bin. National Weather Service data confirmed this value under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover that limited afternoon mixing and allowed efficient surface heating without exceeding seasonal norms for early June. Model guidance issued the prior evening aligned closely with the eventual reading, leaving little room for revision once verified reports were released. Only an unexpected station calibration error or post-hoc quality-control adjustment could reopen other temperature ranges, an outcome that remains statistically remote given multiple independent sensors.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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