**Latest NWS and model guidance point to a highest temperature in Central Park near 85–89 °F, driving the market’s heavy weighting toward the 86–91 °F bins (87.5 % combined).** After an early-June heat wave that produced record highs near 97 °F at Newark on June 11, a moderating air mass with lighter winds and partly cloudy skies has moved in. Ensemble runs and the NWS point forecast for KNYC currently cluster around 85 °F, while some guidance (including BBC) reaches 88 °F under continued southwesterly flow. These values sit well above the June average high of ~80 °F yet remain below the threshold for renewed heat-advisory conditions. With resolution tied to the official NWS daily climatological report, traders have concentrated probability on the narrow 88–89 °F outcome (48 %) because it balances the most likely model consensus while leaving modest room for small forecast adjustments before sunset. No major model shift has occurred in the past 24 hours, keeping the implied distribution tightly centered in the upper 80s.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on June 14?
Highest temperature in NYC on June 14?
88-89°F 51%
86-87°F 25%
90-91°F 16%
84-85°F 5%
ใหม่
$21,379 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$21,379 ปริมาณ
Jun 14, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
25%
88-89°F
51%
90-91°F
16%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 51%
86-87°F 25%
90-91°F 16%
84-85°F 5%
ใหม่
$21,379 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$21,379 ปริมาณ
Jun 14, 2026
83°F or below
$2,230 ปริมาณ
<1%
84-85°F
$2,294 ปริมาณ
5%
86-87°F
$1,997 ปริมาณ
25%
88-89°F
$1,644 ปริมาณ
51%
90-91°F
$4,572 ปริมาณ
16%
92-93°F
$3,019 ปริมาณ
2%
94-95°F
$3,551 ปริมาณ
<1%
96-97°F
$711 ปริมาณ
<1%
98-99°F
$890 ปริมาณ
<1%
100-101°F
$432 ปริมาณ
<1%
102°F or higher
$401 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest NWS and model guidance point to a highest temperature in Central Park near 85–89 °F, driving the market’s heavy weighting toward the 86–91 °F bins (87.5 % combined).**
After an early-June heat wave that produced record highs near 97 °F at Newark on June 11, a moderating air mass with lighter winds and partly cloudy skies has moved in. Ensemble runs and the NWS point forecast for KNYC currently cluster around 85 °F, while some guidance (including BBC) reaches 88 °F under continued southwesterly flow. These values sit well above the June average high of ~80 °F yet remain below the threshold for renewed heat-advisory conditions.
With resolution tied to the official NWS daily climatological report, traders have concentrated probability on the narrow 88–89 °F outcome (48 %) because it balances the most likely model consensus while leaving modest room for small forecast adjustments before sunset. No major model shift has occurred in the past 24 hours, keeping the implied distribution tightly centered in the upper 80s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,379วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest NWS and model guidance point to a highest temperature in Central Park near 85–89 °F, driving the market’s heavy weighting toward the 86–91 °F bins (87.5 % combined).**
After an early-June heat wave that produced record highs near 97 °F at Newark on June 11, a moderating air mass with lighter winds and partly cloudy skies has moved in. Ensemble runs and the NWS point forecast for KNYC currently cluster around 85 °F, while some guidance (including BBC) reaches 88 °F under continued southwesterly flow. These values sit well above the June average high of ~80 °F yet remain below the threshold for renewed heat-advisory conditions.
With resolution tied to the official NWS daily climatological report, traders have concentrated probability on the narrow 88–89 °F outcome (48 %) because it balances the most likely model consensus while leaving modest room for small forecast adjustments before sunset. No major model shift has occurred in the past 24 hours, keeping the implied distribution tightly centered in the upper 80s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,379วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest NWS and model guidance point to a highest temperature in Central Park near 85–89 °F, driving the market’s heavy weighting toward the 86–91 °F bins (87.5 % combined).** After an early-June heat wave that produced record highs near 97 °F at Newark on June 11, a moderating air mass with lighter winds and partly cloudy skies has moved in. Ensemble runs and the NWS point forecast for KNYC currently cluster around 85 °F, while some guidance (including BBC) reaches 88 °F under continued southwesterly flow. These values sit well above the June average high of ~80 °F yet remain below the threshold for renewed heat-advisory conditions. With resolution tied to the official NWS daily climatological report, traders have concentrated probability on the narrow 88–89 °F outcome (48 %) because it balances the most likely model consensus while leaving modest room for small forecast adjustments before sunset. No major model shift has occurred in the past 24 hours, keeping the implied distribution tightly centered in the upper 80s.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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