Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for June 15 points to mainly sunny skies and northwest winds of 10–20 mph across the New York metro area, supporting a daytime high near 79 °F at Central Park, the official measurement site. This aligns with the market’s strongest outcome at 78–79 °F (48.5 % implied probability) and the secondary 80–81 °F bin (21 %). Mid-June climatology places the average high near 80 °F, but a cooler post-frontal airmass and limited mixing have trimmed the upper end of guidance. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, keeping probabilities for 82 °F or higher below 20 % combined while rendering sub-76 °F outcomes unlikely given current radiative conditions. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final adjustment before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on June 15?
Highest temperature in NYC on June 15?
78-79°F 48%
76-77°F 24%
80-81°F 22%
74-75°F 3.5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 15, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
48%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 48%
76-77°F 24%
80-81°F 22%
74-75°F 3.5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 15, 2026
69°F or below
$15 ปริมาณ
<1%
70-71°F
$10 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
74-75°F
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
76-77°F
$75 ปริมาณ
24%
78-79°F
$240 ปริมาณ
48%
80-81°F
$83 ปริมาณ
22%
82-83°F
$34 ปริมาณ
2%
84-85°F
$17 ปริมาณ
1%
86-87°F
$27 ปริมาณ
1%
88°F or higher
$15 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for June 15 points to mainly sunny skies and northwest winds of 10–20 mph across the New York metro area, supporting a daytime high near 79 °F at Central Park, the official measurement site. This aligns with the market’s strongest outcome at 78–79 °F (48.5 % implied probability) and the secondary 80–81 °F bin (21 %). Mid-June climatology places the average high near 80 °F, but a cooler post-frontal airmass and limited mixing have trimmed the upper end of guidance. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, keeping probabilities for 82 °F or higher below 20 % combined while rendering sub-76 °F outcomes unlikely given current radiative conditions. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final adjustment before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$287วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for June 15 points to mainly sunny skies and northwest winds of 10–20 mph across the New York metro area, supporting a daytime high near 79 °F at Central Park, the official measurement site. This aligns with the market’s strongest outcome at 78–79 °F (48.5 % implied probability) and the secondary 80–81 °F bin (21 %). Mid-June climatology places the average high near 80 °F, but a cooler post-frontal airmass and limited mixing have trimmed the upper end of guidance. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, keeping probabilities for 82 °F or higher below 20 % combined while rendering sub-76 °F outcomes unlikely given current radiative conditions. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final adjustment before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$287วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for June 15 points to mainly sunny skies and northwest winds of 10–20 mph across the New York metro area, supporting a daytime high near 79 °F at Central Park, the official measurement site. This aligns with the market’s strongest outcome at 78–79 °F (48.5 % implied probability) and the secondary 80–81 °F bin (21 %). Mid-June climatology places the average high near 80 °F, but a cooler post-frontal airmass and limited mixing have trimmed the upper end of guidance. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, keeping probabilities for 82 °F or higher below 20 % combined while rendering sub-76 °F outcomes unlikely given current radiative conditions. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final adjustment before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย