**Forecast models and observational data position 25°C as the dominant outcome for Istanbul’s June 14 maximum temperature.** Multiple sources, including AccuWeather and BBC Weather, project a daytime high of 25–26°C under clear, sunny conditions with light westerly or variable winds, consistent with typical early-summer patterns in the region’s Mediterranean climate. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C (77% implied probability) and modest support for 26°C (14.5%). Climatological baselines reinforce this positioning: long-term June averages for Istanbul show daily highs of 25–27°C, with June 14 historically falling near the lower end of that range before seasonal warming accelerates later in the month. Current atmospheric conditions feature stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover, limiting convective activity or marine cooling that could suppress the maximum. No significant heat advection or anomalous warmth is indicated in the latest model runs. Upcoming resolution depends on the official daily maximum recorded at the designated meteorological station, typically reported by Turkish State Meteorological Service networks. With the day already underway and conditions stable, the narrow probability spread around 25–26°C reflects traders’ assessment of low forecast uncertainty for this specific 24-hour period.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 14?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 14?
26°C 92%
27°C 6.5%
25°C 1.0%
29°C <1%
$36,810 ปริมาณ
$36,810 ปริมาณ
Jun 14, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
92%
27°C
7%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 92%
27°C 6.5%
25°C 1.0%
29°C <1%
$36,810 ปริมาณ
$36,810 ปริมาณ
Jun 14, 2026
20°C or below
$6,340 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$1,321 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$1,940 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$5,561 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$5,524 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$6,100 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$4,662 ปริมาณ
92%
27°C
$2,283 ปริมาณ
7%
28°C
$2,442 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$1,412 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,881 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and observational data position 25°C as the dominant outcome for Istanbul’s June 14 maximum temperature.** Multiple sources, including AccuWeather and BBC Weather, project a daytime high of 25–26°C under clear, sunny conditions with light westerly or variable winds, consistent with typical early-summer patterns in the region’s Mediterranean climate. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C (77% implied probability) and modest support for 26°C (14.5%).
Climatological baselines reinforce this positioning: long-term June averages for Istanbul show daily highs of 25–27°C, with June 14 historically falling near the lower end of that range before seasonal warming accelerates later in the month. Current atmospheric conditions feature stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover, limiting convective activity or marine cooling that could suppress the maximum. No significant heat advection or anomalous warmth is indicated in the latest model runs.
Upcoming resolution depends on the official daily maximum recorded at the designated meteorological station, typically reported by Turkish State Meteorological Service networks. With the day already underway and conditions stable, the narrow probability spread around 25–26°C reflects traders’ assessment of low forecast uncertainty for this specific 24-hour period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,810วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and observational data position 25°C as the dominant outcome for Istanbul’s June 14 maximum temperature.** Multiple sources, including AccuWeather and BBC Weather, project a daytime high of 25–26°C under clear, sunny conditions with light westerly or variable winds, consistent with typical early-summer patterns in the region’s Mediterranean climate. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C (77% implied probability) and modest support for 26°C (14.5%).
Climatological baselines reinforce this positioning: long-term June averages for Istanbul show daily highs of 25–27°C, with June 14 historically falling near the lower end of that range before seasonal warming accelerates later in the month. Current atmospheric conditions feature stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover, limiting convective activity or marine cooling that could suppress the maximum. No significant heat advection or anomalous warmth is indicated in the latest model runs.
Upcoming resolution depends on the official daily maximum recorded at the designated meteorological station, typically reported by Turkish State Meteorological Service networks. With the day already underway and conditions stable, the narrow probability spread around 25–26°C reflects traders’ assessment of low forecast uncertainty for this specific 24-hour period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,810วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and observational data position 25°C as the dominant outcome for Istanbul’s June 14 maximum temperature.** Multiple sources, including AccuWeather and BBC Weather, project a daytime high of 25–26°C under clear, sunny conditions with light westerly or variable winds, consistent with typical early-summer patterns in the region’s Mediterranean climate. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C (77% implied probability) and modest support for 26°C (14.5%). Climatological baselines reinforce this positioning: long-term June averages for Istanbul show daily highs of 25–27°C, with June 14 historically falling near the lower end of that range before seasonal warming accelerates later in the month. Current atmospheric conditions feature stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover, limiting convective activity or marine cooling that could suppress the maximum. No significant heat advection or anomalous warmth is indicated in the latest model runs. Upcoming resolution depends on the official daily maximum recorded at the designated meteorological station, typically reported by Turkish State Meteorological Service networks. With the day already underway and conditions stable, the narrow probability spread around 25–26°C reflects traders’ assessment of low forecast uncertainty for this specific 24-hour period.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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