**Forecasts from AEMET and other models point to a daily maximum of 33–35°C in Madrid on June 14, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light southerly winds that favor strong daytime heating without significant cloud cover or Atlantic cooling.** AEMET’s official outlook shows highs near 34°C (with some guidance reaching 35°C), while Met Office and other ensembles cluster around 33–34°C, aligning closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Mid-June climatology for Madrid centers on highs of 28–30°C at the Retiro station, so current conditions reflect modestly above-average warmth driven by persistent subsidence and peak solar insolation rather than an intense heat dome. No major model shifts or Saharan intrusions have appeared in recent runs, keeping the distribution tightly centered and limiting probability mass beyond 36°C. Traders are therefore pricing the tight cluster around the consensus forecast while leaving modest room for small observational or microscale variations at resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on June 14?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 14?
34°C 45%
35°C 37%
33°C 19%
36°C 2.8%
$43,699 ปริมาณ
$43,699 ปริมาณ
Jun 14, 2026
31°C or below
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
19%
34°C
45%
35°C
37%
36°C
3%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 45%
35°C 37%
33°C 19%
36°C 2.8%
$43,699 ปริมาณ
$43,699 ปริมาณ
Jun 14, 2026
31°C or below
$3,866 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$6,198 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C
$6,387 ปริมาณ
19%
34°C
$6,106 ปริมาณ
45%
35°C
$9,104 ปริมาณ
37%
36°C
$7,465 ปริมาณ
3%
37°C
$2,771 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C
$1,327 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C
$564 ปริมาณ
<1%
40°C
$422 ปริมาณ
<1%
41°C or higher
$417 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from AEMET and other models point to a daily maximum of 33–35°C in Madrid on June 14, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light southerly winds that favor strong daytime heating without significant cloud cover or Atlantic cooling.**
AEMET’s official outlook shows highs near 34°C (with some guidance reaching 35°C), while Met Office and other ensembles cluster around 33–34°C, aligning closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Mid-June climatology for Madrid centers on highs of 28–30°C at the Retiro station, so current conditions reflect modestly above-average warmth driven by persistent subsidence and peak solar insolation rather than an intense heat dome. No major model shifts or Saharan intrusions have appeared in recent runs, keeping the distribution tightly centered and limiting probability mass beyond 36°C. Traders are therefore pricing the tight cluster around the consensus forecast while leaving modest room for small observational or microscale variations at resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,699วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from AEMET and other models point to a daily maximum of 33–35°C in Madrid on June 14, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light southerly winds that favor strong daytime heating without significant cloud cover or Atlantic cooling.**
AEMET’s official outlook shows highs near 34°C (with some guidance reaching 35°C), while Met Office and other ensembles cluster around 33–34°C, aligning closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Mid-June climatology for Madrid centers on highs of 28–30°C at the Retiro station, so current conditions reflect modestly above-average warmth driven by persistent subsidence and peak solar insolation rather than an intense heat dome. No major model shifts or Saharan intrusions have appeared in recent runs, keeping the distribution tightly centered and limiting probability mass beyond 36°C. Traders are therefore pricing the tight cluster around the consensus forecast while leaving modest room for small observational or microscale variations at resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,699วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from AEMET and other models point to a daily maximum of 33–35°C in Madrid on June 14, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light southerly winds that favor strong daytime heating without significant cloud cover or Atlantic cooling.** AEMET’s official outlook shows highs near 34°C (with some guidance reaching 35°C), while Met Office and other ensembles cluster around 33–34°C, aligning closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Mid-June climatology for Madrid centers on highs of 28–30°C at the Retiro station, so current conditions reflect modestly above-average warmth driven by persistent subsidence and peak solar insolation rather than an intense heat dome. No major model shifts or Saharan intrusions have appeared in recent runs, keeping the distribution tightly centered and limiting probability mass beyond 36°C. Traders are therefore pricing the tight cluster around the consensus forecast while leaving modest room for small observational or microscale variations at resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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