Latest multi-model forecasts from agencies including the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts consensus place Madrid’s June 15 maximum near 31–32 °C, with isolated afternoon convection and variable cloud cover introducing modest uncertainty in peak heating. Surface temperatures will be driven by strong June insolation under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, moderated by light northerly flow and low-level moisture that could trigger brief showers and cap the daily high. Historical June climatology shows typical maxima around 28–30 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly, yet model spread of 1–2 °C keeps the 31 °C and 32 °C outcomes nearly tied in market-implied odds. Updated model runs and AEMET’s evening briefing on June 14 will refine the exact threshold before resolution tomorrow.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on June 15?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 15?
31°C 40%
32°C 39%
30°C 11%
33°C 8.5%
ใหม่
$15,443 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$15,443 ปริมาณ
Jun 15, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
11%
31°C
40%
32°C
39%
33°C
9%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 40%
32°C 39%
30°C 11%
33°C 8.5%
ใหม่
$15,443 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$15,443 ปริมาณ
Jun 15, 2026
27°C or below
$399 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$1,627 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$1,637 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$1,701 ปริมาณ
11%
31°C
$1,277 ปริมาณ
40%
32°C
$1,784 ปริมาณ
39%
33°C
$2,133 ปริมาณ
9%
34°C
$2,850 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C
$1,086 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C
$333 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C or higher
$706 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest multi-model forecasts from agencies including the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts consensus place Madrid’s June 15 maximum near 31–32 °C, with isolated afternoon convection and variable cloud cover introducing modest uncertainty in peak heating. Surface temperatures will be driven by strong June insolation under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, moderated by light northerly flow and low-level moisture that could trigger brief showers and cap the daily high. Historical June climatology shows typical maxima around 28–30 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly, yet model spread of 1–2 °C keeps the 31 °C and 32 °C outcomes nearly tied in market-implied odds. Updated model runs and AEMET’s evening briefing on June 14 will refine the exact threshold before resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,443วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest multi-model forecasts from agencies including the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts consensus place Madrid’s June 15 maximum near 31–32 °C, with isolated afternoon convection and variable cloud cover introducing modest uncertainty in peak heating. Surface temperatures will be driven by strong June insolation under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, moderated by light northerly flow and low-level moisture that could trigger brief showers and cap the daily high. Historical June climatology shows typical maxima around 28–30 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly, yet model spread of 1–2 °C keeps the 31 °C and 32 °C outcomes nearly tied in market-implied odds. Updated model runs and AEMET’s evening briefing on June 14 will refine the exact threshold before resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,443วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest multi-model forecasts from agencies including the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts consensus place Madrid’s June 15 maximum near 31–32 °C, with isolated afternoon convection and variable cloud cover introducing modest uncertainty in peak heating. Surface temperatures will be driven by strong June insolation under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, moderated by light northerly flow and low-level moisture that could trigger brief showers and cap the daily high. Historical June climatology shows typical maxima around 28–30 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly, yet model spread of 1–2 °C keeps the 31 °C and 32 °C outcomes nearly tied in market-implied odds. Updated model runs and AEMET’s evening briefing on June 14 will refine the exact threshold before resolution tomorrow.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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