Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecast guidance from agencies including the German Weather Service indicate a daily maximum temperature of 17°C in Munich on June 12, driven by persistent cloud cover, light precipitation, and limited insolation under a stable northwesterly flow. This setup has kept surface temperatures from rising further despite seasonal solar angles, aligning closely with model consensus that narrows peak readings to 16–17°C. Trader positioning at 99.9% implied probability for 17°C reflects this strong agreement and the late timing relative to resolution criteria. Unseasonal clearing or a sharper wind shift could allow brief warming toward 18°C, though such deviations remain low-probability given current stability indices and observational trends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on June 12?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 12?
17°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$140,926 ปริมาณ
$140,926 ปริมาณ
Jun 12, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$140,926 ปริมาณ
$140,926 ปริมาณ
Jun 12, 2026
8°C or below
$359 ปริมาณ
No
9°C
$365 ปริมาณ
No
10°C
$3,050 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$2,981 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$2,687 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$35,877 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$18,765 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$11,779 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$15,481 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$16,242 ปริมาณ
Yes
18°C or higher
$33,339 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecast guidance from agencies including the German Weather Service indicate a daily maximum temperature of 17°C in Munich on June 12, driven by persistent cloud cover, light precipitation, and limited insolation under a stable northwesterly flow. This setup has kept surface temperatures from rising further despite seasonal solar angles, aligning closely with model consensus that narrows peak readings to 16–17°C. Trader positioning at 99.9% implied probability for 17°C reflects this strong agreement and the late timing relative to resolution criteria. Unseasonal clearing or a sharper wind shift could allow brief warming toward 18°C, though such deviations remain low-probability given current stability indices and observational trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 10, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$140,926วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 10, 2026, 1:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecast guidance from agencies including the German Weather Service indicate a daily maximum temperature of 17°C in Munich on June 12, driven by persistent cloud cover, light precipitation, and limited insolation under a stable northwesterly flow. This setup has kept surface temperatures from rising further despite seasonal solar angles, aligning closely with model consensus that narrows peak readings to 16–17°C. Trader positioning at 99.9% implied probability for 17°C reflects this strong agreement and the late timing relative to resolution criteria. Unseasonal clearing or a sharper wind shift could allow brief warming toward 18°C, though such deviations remain low-probability given current stability indices and observational trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$140,926วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 10, 2026, 1:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecast guidance from agencies including the German Weather Service indicate a daily maximum temperature of 17°C in Munich on June 12, driven by persistent cloud cover, light precipitation, and limited insolation under a stable northwesterly flow. This setup has kept surface temperatures from rising further despite seasonal solar angles, aligning closely with model consensus that narrows peak readings to 16–17°C. Trader positioning at 99.9% implied probability for 17°C reflects this strong agreement and the late timing relative to resolution criteria. Unseasonal clearing or a sharper wind shift could allow brief warming toward 18°C, though such deviations remain low-probability given current stability indices and observational trends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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