**Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a Tokyo overnight low of 19°C for June 12, 2026, aligning with the market's 99.9% implied probability for that outcome.** Early-summer conditions during the onset of the tsuyu rainy season feature typical nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with minimum temperatures anchored near the 18–21°C climatological range. Supporting observations show no significant cold-air advection or unusual high-pressure strengthening that would drive readings lower. The dominant consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns and limited forecast spread. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated late-evening frontal passage or measurement anomaly at official stations, though current guidance shows low likelihood of deviation outside the 18–20°C band.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 12?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 12?
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$16,978 ปริมาณ
$16,978 ปริมาณ
Jun 12, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$16,978 ปริมาณ
$16,978 ปริมาณ
Jun 12, 2026
14°C or below
$708 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$1,029 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$1,527 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$2,125 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$3,998 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$3,209 ปริมาณ
Yes
20°C
$1,676 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$567 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$799 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$838 ปริมาณ
No
24°C or higher
$502 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a Tokyo overnight low of 19°C for June 12, 2026, aligning with the market's 99.9% implied probability for that outcome.** Early-summer conditions during the onset of the tsuyu rainy season feature typical nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with minimum temperatures anchored near the 18–21°C climatological range. Supporting observations show no significant cold-air advection or unusual high-pressure strengthening that would drive readings lower. The dominant consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns and limited forecast spread. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated late-evening frontal passage or measurement anomaly at official stations, though current guidance shows low likelihood of deviation outside the 18–20°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,978วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a Tokyo overnight low of 19°C for June 12, 2026, aligning with the market's 99.9% implied probability for that outcome.** Early-summer conditions during the onset of the tsuyu rainy season feature typical nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with minimum temperatures anchored near the 18–21°C climatological range. Supporting observations show no significant cold-air advection or unusual high-pressure strengthening that would drive readings lower. The dominant consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns and limited forecast spread. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated late-evening frontal passage or measurement anomaly at official stations, though current guidance shows low likelihood of deviation outside the 18–20°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,978วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a Tokyo overnight low of 19°C for June 12, 2026, aligning with the market's 99.9% implied probability for that outcome.** Early-summer conditions during the onset of the tsuyu rainy season feature typical nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with minimum temperatures anchored near the 18–21°C climatological range. Supporting observations show no significant cold-air advection or unusual high-pressure strengthening that would drive readings lower. The dominant consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns and limited forecast spread. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated late-evening frontal passage or measurement anomaly at official stations, though current guidance shows low likelihood of deviation outside the 18–20°C band.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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