Recent JMA forecasts for Tokyo on June 14 project a daytime high near 28°C and overnight low around 19–21°C under partly cloudy conditions typical of early tsuyu transition. This aligns closely with the climatological normal minimum of 18.7°C and recent model consensus showing limited overnight cooling due to elevated humidity and light winds. Trader sentiment heavily favors 21°C as the outcome because short-range guidance has stabilized near that threshold without significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiational cooling expected. Minor downside risk to 20°C exists if actual cloud cover increases more than anticipated, but probabilities below 19°C remain negligible given the warm airmass in place.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 14?
21°C 79%
20°C 12%
19°C 4.3%
18°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
12%
21°C
79%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 79%
20°C 12%
19°C 4.3%
18°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
12%
21°C
79%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent JMA forecasts for Tokyo on June 14 project a daytime high near 28°C and overnight low around 19–21°C under partly cloudy conditions typical of early tsuyu transition. This aligns closely with the climatological normal minimum of 18.7°C and recent model consensus showing limited overnight cooling due to elevated humidity and light winds. Trader sentiment heavily favors 21°C as the outcome because short-range guidance has stabilized near that threshold without significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiational cooling expected. Minor downside risk to 20°C exists if actual cloud cover increases more than anticipated, but probabilities below 19°C remain negligible given the warm airmass in place.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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