The market's overwhelming 99.8% implied probability on a 23°C high reflects real-time observational data and forecast model consensus from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration showing Seoul's temperature peaking near that level today amid stable atmospheric conditions, moderate humidity, and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies. Current readings hovering in the low 20s°C, combined with short-range model runs projecting no significant afternoon rise, reinforce this positioning over historical June averages of 25–27°C. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus accounts for typical diurnal patterns and any lingering effects from recent regional weather systems. A realistic challenge could arise from an unforecasted late-day warming spike, localized urban heat island effects exceeding official station measurements, or revisions in post-day official verification data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seoul on June 11?
Highest temperature in Seoul on June 11?
23°C 99.9%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$272,012 ปริมาณ
$272,012 ปริมาณ
Jun 11, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 99.9%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$272,012 ปริมาณ
$272,012 ปริมาณ
Jun 11, 2026
17°C or below
$4,010 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$2,417 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$11,858 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$23,816 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$22,813 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$57,986 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$33,830 ปริมาณ
100%
24°C
$32,547 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$37,859 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$23,315 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C or higher
$21,778 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's overwhelming 99.8% implied probability on a 23°C high reflects real-time observational data and forecast model consensus from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration showing Seoul's temperature peaking near that level today amid stable atmospheric conditions, moderate humidity, and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies. Current readings hovering in the low 20s°C, combined with short-range model runs projecting no significant afternoon rise, reinforce this positioning over historical June averages of 25–27°C. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus accounts for typical diurnal patterns and any lingering effects from recent regional weather systems. A realistic challenge could arise from an unforecasted late-day warming spike, localized urban heat island effects exceeding official station measurements, or revisions in post-day official verification data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$272,012วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's overwhelming 99.8% implied probability on a 23°C high reflects real-time observational data and forecast model consensus from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration showing Seoul's temperature peaking near that level today amid stable atmospheric conditions, moderate humidity, and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies. Current readings hovering in the low 20s°C, combined with short-range model runs projecting no significant afternoon rise, reinforce this positioning over historical June averages of 25–27°C. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus accounts for typical diurnal patterns and any lingering effects from recent regional weather systems. A realistic challenge could arise from an unforecasted late-day warming spike, localized urban heat island effects exceeding official station measurements, or revisions in post-day official verification data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$272,012วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's overwhelming 99.8% implied probability on a 23°C high reflects real-time observational data and forecast model consensus from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration showing Seoul's temperature peaking near that level today amid stable atmospheric conditions, moderate humidity, and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies. Current readings hovering in the low 20s°C, combined with short-range model runs projecting no significant afternoon rise, reinforce this positioning over historical June averages of 25–27°C. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus accounts for typical diurnal patterns and any lingering effects from recent regional weather systems. A realistic challenge could arise from an unforecasted late-day warming spike, localized urban heat island effects exceeding official station measurements, or revisions in post-day official verification data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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