**Current short-range model consensus points to a minimum temperature in London on June 13 of 13–15 °C, aligning closely with the tightly bunched market probabilities (14 °C at 31 %, 13 °C at 27 %, 15 °C at 21 %).** After the exceptional May heatwave, the Met Office and European models show a return to near-climatological conditions for mid-June, with overnight lows influenced by a moderate westerly flow and variable cloud. Key differentiating factors include the degree of nocturnal radiative cooling under clearer skies versus trapped heat under increased cloud cover or stronger winds, plus any subtle Atlantic front timing that could nudge the minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical baselines place typical June minima near 12–13 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above average but with modest spread across ensemble members. Updated runs from the UK Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten this range ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on June 13?
Lowest temperature in London on June 13?
14°C 33%
13°C 24%
15°C 21%
10°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 13, 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
16%
11°C
9%
12°C
9%
13°C
24%
14°C
33%
15°C
21%
16°C
16%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
14°C 33%
13°C 24%
15°C 21%
10°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 13, 2026
9°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
10°C
$5 ปริมาณ
16%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
12°C
$16 ปริมาณ
9%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
33%
15°C
$17 ปริมาณ
21%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range model consensus points to a minimum temperature in London on June 13 of 13–15 °C, aligning closely with the tightly bunched market probabilities (14 °C at 31 %, 13 °C at 27 %, 15 °C at 21 %).**
After the exceptional May heatwave, the Met Office and European models show a return to near-climatological conditions for mid-June, with overnight lows influenced by a moderate westerly flow and variable cloud. Key differentiating factors include the degree of nocturnal radiative cooling under clearer skies versus trapped heat under increased cloud cover or stronger winds, plus any subtle Atlantic front timing that could nudge the minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical baselines place typical June minima near 12–13 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above average but with modest spread across ensemble members. Updated runs from the UK Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten this range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range model consensus points to a minimum temperature in London on June 13 of 13–15 °C, aligning closely with the tightly bunched market probabilities (14 °C at 31 %, 13 °C at 27 %, 15 °C at 21 %).**
After the exceptional May heatwave, the Met Office and European models show a return to near-climatological conditions for mid-June, with overnight lows influenced by a moderate westerly flow and variable cloud. Key differentiating factors include the degree of nocturnal radiative cooling under clearer skies versus trapped heat under increased cloud cover or stronger winds, plus any subtle Atlantic front timing that could nudge the minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical baselines place typical June minima near 12–13 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above average but with modest spread across ensemble members. Updated runs from the UK Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten this range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current short-range model consensus points to a minimum temperature in London on June 13 of 13–15 °C, aligning closely with the tightly bunched market probabilities (14 °C at 31 %, 13 °C at 27 %, 15 °C at 21 %).** After the exceptional May heatwave, the Met Office and European models show a return to near-climatological conditions for mid-June, with overnight lows influenced by a moderate westerly flow and variable cloud. Key differentiating factors include the degree of nocturnal radiative cooling under clearer skies versus trapped heat under increased cloud cover or stronger winds, plus any subtle Atlantic front timing that could nudge the minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical baselines place typical June minima near 12–13 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above average but with modest spread across ensemble members. Updated runs from the UK Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten this range ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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