The overwhelming market consensus at 10°C reflects verified observational data from London-area stations showing this exact minimum temperature for June 11, consistent with Met Office records and model outputs indicating limited nocturnal cooling under stable high-pressure conditions. Recent forecasts highlighted overnight lows near 9–11°C amid typical early-summer radiative cooling and light winds, with no significant deviations from ensemble guidance. This skin-in-the-game positioning accounts for the high implied probability, though an unusually late cold front or localized urban heat-island effects could theoretically shift the official daily minimum by 1°C. Updated station reports remain the key near-term variable before final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on June 11?
10°C 99.6%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$27,206 ปริมาณ
$27,206 ปริมาณ
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
100%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
10°C 99.6%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$27,206 ปริมาณ
$27,206 ปริมาณ
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
100%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The overwhelming market consensus at 10°C reflects verified observational data from London-area stations showing this exact minimum temperature for June 11, consistent with Met Office records and model outputs indicating limited nocturnal cooling under stable high-pressure conditions. Recent forecasts highlighted overnight lows near 9–11°C amid typical early-summer radiative cooling and light winds, with no significant deviations from ensemble guidance. This skin-in-the-game positioning accounts for the high implied probability, though an unusually late cold front or localized urban heat-island effects could theoretically shift the official daily minimum by 1°C. Updated station reports remain the key near-term variable before final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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