Recent official forecasts from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate Moscow highs near 27–29°C on June 13, with possible thundershowers and cloud cover trimming peak readings from recent 30°C days. This drives tight market clustering around 26–28°C, as ensemble models (ECMWF, GFS) show modest spread tied to frontal passage timing and variable insolation. A warm anomaly above the ~22°C climatological norm supports elevated odds, yet precipitation and boundary-layer mixing uncertainties differentiate the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and Roshydromet guidance over the next 48 hours could refine these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on June 13?
27°C 28%
26°C 21%
28°C 15%
29°C 11%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
8%
26°C
21%
27°C
28%
28°C
15%
29°C
11%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
2%
27°C 28%
26°C 21%
28°C 15%
29°C 11%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
8%
26°C
21%
27°C
28%
28°C
15%
29°C
11%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 11, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate Moscow highs near 27–29°C on June 13, with possible thundershowers and cloud cover trimming peak readings from recent 30°C days. This drives tight market clustering around 26–28°C, as ensemble models (ECMWF, GFS) show modest spread tied to frontal passage timing and variable insolation. A warm anomaly above the ~22°C climatological norm supports elevated odds, yet precipitation and boundary-layer mixing uncertainties differentiate the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and Roshydromet guidance over the next 48 hours could refine these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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