Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration point to a daytime high of 23–26°C in Taipei on June 11 under persistent overcast skies and showers, driving the market's overwhelming 91% implied probability for 24°C as the peak. This aligns with current model consensus and observed conditions suppressing solar heating and convective development. Historical June averages near 30°C highlight how this day's specific synoptic pattern has lowered expectations. A rapid shift to clearer skies or underestimated model bias could push readings higher, though monitoring agency updates through the afternoon remain the key near-term catalyst for any reassessment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Taipei on June 11?
24°C 95.4%
25°C 5%
26°C 2.9%
27°C <1%
$51,354 ปริมาณ
$51,354 ปริมาณ
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
95%
25°C
5%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
24°C 95.4%
25°C 5%
26°C 2.9%
27°C <1%
$51,354 ปริมาณ
$51,354 ปริมาณ
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
95%
25°C
5%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration point to a daytime high of 23–26°C in Taipei on June 11 under persistent overcast skies and showers, driving the market's overwhelming 91% implied probability for 24°C as the peak. This aligns with current model consensus and observed conditions suppressing solar heating and convective development. Historical June averages near 30°C highlight how this day's specific synoptic pattern has lowered expectations. A rapid shift to clearer skies or underestimated model bias could push readings higher, though monitoring agency updates through the afternoon remain the key near-term catalyst for any reassessment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย