Recent short-term forecasts from regional meteorological agencies point to a June 13 peak temperature in Shenzhen near 29–31°C, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover creating the primary uncertainty that has concentrated trader bets on these three outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity, and daytime convection typical of early summer along the South China Sea coast are limiting strong daytime heating, while model spread in timing and intensity of precipitation accounts for the tight 24–31% probabilities. Official guidance shows only modest day-to-day changes in steering patterns, keeping resolution thresholds within a narrow band and underscoring the value of updated model runs expected before market close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 13?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 13?
30°C 32%
31°C 28%
29°C 16%
32°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 13, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
16%
30°C
32%
31°C
28%
32°C
6%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 32%
31°C 28%
29°C 16%
32°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 13, 2026
25°C or below
$118 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$114 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$29 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$3 ปริมาณ
5%
29°C
$5 ปริมาณ
16%
30°C
$5 ปริมาณ
32%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
32°C
$3 ปริมาณ
6%
33°C
$5 ปริมาณ
6%
34°C
$58 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C or higher
$232 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from regional meteorological agencies point to a June 13 peak temperature in Shenzhen near 29–31°C, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover creating the primary uncertainty that has concentrated trader bets on these three outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity, and daytime convection typical of early summer along the South China Sea coast are limiting strong daytime heating, while model spread in timing and intensity of precipitation accounts for the tight 24–31% probabilities. Official guidance shows only modest day-to-day changes in steering patterns, keeping resolution thresholds within a narrow band and underscoring the value of updated model runs expected before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 11, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$571วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 11, 2026, 12:25 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from regional meteorological agencies point to a June 13 peak temperature in Shenzhen near 29–31°C, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover creating the primary uncertainty that has concentrated trader bets on these three outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity, and daytime convection typical of early summer along the South China Sea coast are limiting strong daytime heating, while model spread in timing and intensity of precipitation accounts for the tight 24–31% probabilities. Official guidance shows only modest day-to-day changes in steering patterns, keeping resolution thresholds within a narrow band and underscoring the value of updated model runs expected before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$571วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 11, 2026, 12:25 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from regional meteorological agencies point to a June 13 peak temperature in Shenzhen near 29–31°C, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover creating the primary uncertainty that has concentrated trader bets on these three outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity, and daytime convection typical of early summer along the South China Sea coast are limiting strong daytime heating, while model spread in timing and intensity of precipitation accounts for the tight 24–31% probabilities. Official guidance shows only modest day-to-day changes in steering patterns, keeping resolution thresholds within a narrow band and underscoring the value of updated model runs expected before market close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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