**Trader consensus has converged on 37°C as the near-certain maximum temperature recorded at Karachi’s Masroor Airbase Station on June 12, 2026.** This positioning reflects updated observational trends and model guidance showing moderating conditions after an earlier heatwave period with peaks near 39–40°C. Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts and regional model runs indicate a high-pressure system yielding to increased cloud cover, gusty winds, possible dust activity, and isolated thunderstorm chances from a fresh weather system traversing the region around June 11–13. These factors reduce daytime solar insolation and limit surface heating relative to the June climatological average of roughly 34–36°C, even as baseline warmth from persistent seasonal heating remains elevated. The market-implied 100% probability on the 37°C outcome aligns with current forecast consensus from multiple sources projecting a daily high near that threshold under partly cloudy to windy conditions. Only substantial deviations—such as unexpectedly persistent clear skies enabling stronger radiative heating or revisions in official station measurements—could realistically shift the recorded maximum outside this bin, though recent trends and guidance make such outcomes highly improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Karachi on June 12?
Highest temperature in Karachi on June 12?
37°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$37,805 ปริมาณ
$37,805 ปริมาณ
Jun 12, 2026
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$37,805 ปริมาณ
$37,805 ปริมาณ
Jun 12, 2026
31°C or below
$526 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$568 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$1,937 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$3,809 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$3,459 ปริมาณ
No
36°C
$7,504 ปริมาณ
No
37°C
$4,545 ปริมาณ
Yes
38°C
$3,517 ปริมาณ
No
39°C
$5,082 ปริมาณ
No
40°C
$4,441 ปริมาณ
No
41°C or higher
$2,415 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 37°C as the near-certain maximum temperature recorded at Karachi’s Masroor Airbase Station on June 12, 2026.** This positioning reflects updated observational trends and model guidance showing moderating conditions after an earlier heatwave period with peaks near 39–40°C. Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts and regional model runs indicate a high-pressure system yielding to increased cloud cover, gusty winds, possible dust activity, and isolated thunderstorm chances from a fresh weather system traversing the region around June 11–13. These factors reduce daytime solar insolation and limit surface heating relative to the June climatological average of roughly 34–36°C, even as baseline warmth from persistent seasonal heating remains elevated.
The market-implied 100% probability on the 37°C outcome aligns with current forecast consensus from multiple sources projecting a daily high near that threshold under partly cloudy to windy conditions. Only substantial deviations—such as unexpectedly persistent clear skies enabling stronger radiative heating or revisions in official station measurements—could realistically shift the recorded maximum outside this bin, though recent trends and guidance make such outcomes highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$37,805วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 37°C as the near-certain maximum temperature recorded at Karachi’s Masroor Airbase Station on June 12, 2026.** This positioning reflects updated observational trends and model guidance showing moderating conditions after an earlier heatwave period with peaks near 39–40°C. Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts and regional model runs indicate a high-pressure system yielding to increased cloud cover, gusty winds, possible dust activity, and isolated thunderstorm chances from a fresh weather system traversing the region around June 11–13. These factors reduce daytime solar insolation and limit surface heating relative to the June climatological average of roughly 34–36°C, even as baseline warmth from persistent seasonal heating remains elevated.
The market-implied 100% probability on the 37°C outcome aligns with current forecast consensus from multiple sources projecting a daily high near that threshold under partly cloudy to windy conditions. Only substantial deviations—such as unexpectedly persistent clear skies enabling stronger radiative heating or revisions in official station measurements—could realistically shift the recorded maximum outside this bin, though recent trends and guidance make such outcomes highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$37,805วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Trader consensus has converged on 37°C as the near-certain maximum temperature recorded at Karachi’s Masroor Airbase Station on June 12, 2026.** This positioning reflects updated observational trends and model guidance showing moderating conditions after an earlier heatwave period with peaks near 39–40°C. Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts and regional model runs indicate a high-pressure system yielding to increased cloud cover, gusty winds, possible dust activity, and isolated thunderstorm chances from a fresh weather system traversing the region around June 11–13. These factors reduce daytime solar insolation and limit surface heating relative to the June climatological average of roughly 34–36°C, even as baseline warmth from persistent seasonal heating remains elevated. The market-implied 100% probability on the 37°C outcome aligns with current forecast consensus from multiple sources projecting a daily high near that threshold under partly cloudy to windy conditions. Only substantial deviations—such as unexpectedly persistent clear skies enabling stronger radiative heating or revisions in official station measurements—could realistically shift the recorded maximum outside this bin, though recent trends and guidance make such outcomes highly improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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