Traders have converged on a 35°C high for Karachi on June 14 due to alignment between long-term June climatology and current model guidance. Karachi’s pre-monsoon regime typically produces afternoon maxima of 34–36 °C, moderated by Arabian Sea moisture and persistent sea breezes that limit extreme heating. Official forecasts and reanalysis data show surface temperatures peaking near 35 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity, with heat-index values elevated but maximum air temperature constrained. Resolution hinges on Pakistan Meteorological Department observations, which report to the nearest degree. A stronger-than-expected sea breeze or increased cloud cover could cap the reading at 34 °C, while clearer skies and reduced onshore flow could push it to 36 °C; either outcome would require a meaningful departure from the consensus guidance now priced by the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Karachi on June 14?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$24,453 ปริมาณ
$24,453 ปริมาณ
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$24,453 ปริมาณ
$24,453 ปริมาณ
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged on a 35°C high for Karachi on June 14 due to alignment between long-term June climatology and current model guidance. Karachi’s pre-monsoon regime typically produces afternoon maxima of 34–36 °C, moderated by Arabian Sea moisture and persistent sea breezes that limit extreme heating. Official forecasts and reanalysis data show surface temperatures peaking near 35 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity, with heat-index values elevated but maximum air temperature constrained. Resolution hinges on Pakistan Meteorological Department observations, which report to the nearest degree. A stronger-than-expected sea breeze or increased cloud cover could cap the reading at 34 °C, while clearer skies and reduced onshore flow could push it to 36 °C; either outcome would require a meaningful departure from the consensus guidance now priced by the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย