Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting observational data positioned the minimum temperature at 25°C on June 11 amid typical subtropical summer conditions featuring partly cloudy skies and isolated showers. This aligns with June climatological baselines where overnight lows rarely fall below 24°C without atypical northerly flow, and recent model consensus reinforced the threshold without significant divergence. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this convergence of verified measurements and historical patterns, with the market treating the outcome as resolved based on skin-in-the-game assessment of authoritative sources. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected sharp cold surge or station-specific anomaly, though atmospheric steering patterns made such shifts highly improbable before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 11?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 11?
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$57,256 ปริมาณ
$57,256 ปริมาณ
Jun 11, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$57,256 ปริมาณ
$57,256 ปริมาณ
Jun 11, 2026
21°C or below
$1,090 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$1,765 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$3,087 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$5,088 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$8,900 ปริมาณ
Yes
26°C
$22,823 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$4,500 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$1,301 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$6,013 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$1,912 ปริมาณ
No
31°C or higher
$777 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting observational data positioned the minimum temperature at 25°C on June 11 amid typical subtropical summer conditions featuring partly cloudy skies and isolated showers. This aligns with June climatological baselines where overnight lows rarely fall below 24°C without atypical northerly flow, and recent model consensus reinforced the threshold without significant divergence. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this convergence of verified measurements and historical patterns, with the market treating the outcome as resolved based on skin-in-the-game assessment of authoritative sources. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected sharp cold surge or station-specific anomaly, though atmospheric steering patterns made such shifts highly improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$57,256วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting observational data positioned the minimum temperature at 25°C on June 11 amid typical subtropical summer conditions featuring partly cloudy skies and isolated showers. This aligns with June climatological baselines where overnight lows rarely fall below 24°C without atypical northerly flow, and recent model consensus reinforced the threshold without significant divergence. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this convergence of verified measurements and historical patterns, with the market treating the outcome as resolved based on skin-in-the-game assessment of authoritative sources. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected sharp cold surge or station-specific anomaly, though atmospheric steering patterns made such shifts highly improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$57,256วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting observational data positioned the minimum temperature at 25°C on June 11 amid typical subtropical summer conditions featuring partly cloudy skies and isolated showers. This aligns with June climatological baselines where overnight lows rarely fall below 24°C without atypical northerly flow, and recent model consensus reinforced the threshold without significant divergence. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this convergence of verified measurements and historical patterns, with the market treating the outcome as resolved based on skin-in-the-game assessment of authoritative sources. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected sharp cold surge or station-specific anomaly, though atmospheric steering patterns made such shifts highly improbable before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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