Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus forecast a June 15 minimum near 26°C within a 26–29°C daily range under mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and an easterly to southerly airstream. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity (80–95%) limit overnight radiative cooling, anchoring lows close to the June climatological average of 26–27°C rather than allowing sharper drops. This positions 26°C as the market leader at 47% implied probability, with 25°C and 27°C as the next most likely outcomes given typical forecast uncertainty ranges. No major model shifts or atypical airstream changes have emerged in recent updates to alter the core outlook.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?
26°C 47%
25°C 27%
27°C 24%
28°C 6.3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 15, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
27%
26°C
37%
27°C
24%
28°C
6%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 47%
25°C 27%
27°C 24%
28°C 6.3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 15, 2026
22°C or below
$13 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$240 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$132 ปริมาณ
5%
25°C
$109 ปริมาณ
27%
26°C
$122 ปริมาณ
37%
27°C
$60 ปริมาณ
24%
28°C
$166 ปริมาณ
6%
29°C
$120 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$407 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$150 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$405 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus forecast a June 15 minimum near 26°C within a 26–29°C daily range under mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and an easterly to southerly airstream. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity (80–95%) limit overnight radiative cooling, anchoring lows close to the June climatological average of 26–27°C rather than allowing sharper drops. This positions 26°C as the market leader at 47% implied probability, with 25°C and 27°C as the next most likely outcomes given typical forecast uncertainty ranges. No major model shifts or atypical airstream changes have emerged in recent updates to alter the core outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,924วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus forecast a June 15 minimum near 26°C within a 26–29°C daily range under mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and an easterly to southerly airstream. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity (80–95%) limit overnight radiative cooling, anchoring lows close to the June climatological average of 26–27°C rather than allowing sharper drops. This positions 26°C as the market leader at 47% implied probability, with 25°C and 27°C as the next most likely outcomes given typical forecast uncertainty ranges. No major model shifts or atypical airstream changes have emerged in recent updates to alter the core outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,924วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus forecast a June 15 minimum near 26°C within a 26–29°C daily range under mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and an easterly to southerly airstream. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity (80–95%) limit overnight radiative cooling, anchoring lows close to the June climatological average of 26–27°C rather than allowing sharper drops. This positions 26°C as the market leader at 47% implied probability, with 25°C and 27°C as the next most likely outcomes given typical forecast uncertainty ranges. No major model shifts or atypical airstream changes have emerged in recent updates to alter the core outlook.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย