Traders see the highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 15 clustering tightly around 29–31 °C because latest model guidance from regional meteorological centers shows a warm, humid airmass with only modest daytime heating. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers tied to the East Asian monsoon are expected to limit solar insolation and cap afternoon peaks near the seasonal average of 31 °C, while lighter winds and higher boundary-layer moisture reduce evaporative cooling. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with small differences in timing of convective initiation or residual cloudiness able to shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, explaining the near-even implied probabilities between the top three outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts and any overnight sounding adjustments will be the next key inputs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 15?
30°C 27%
29°C 25%
31°C 16%
28°C 14%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
14%
29°C
25%
30°C
27%
31°C
16%
32°C or higher
11%
30°C 27%
29°C 25%
31°C 16%
28°C 14%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
14%
29°C
25%
30°C
27%
31°C
16%
32°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 15 clustering tightly around 29–31 °C because latest model guidance from regional meteorological centers shows a warm, humid airmass with only modest daytime heating. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers tied to the East Asian monsoon are expected to limit solar insolation and cap afternoon peaks near the seasonal average of 31 °C, while lighter winds and higher boundary-layer moisture reduce evaporative cooling. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with small differences in timing of convective initiation or residual cloudiness able to shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, explaining the near-even implied probabilities between the top three outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts and any overnight sounding adjustments will be the next key inputs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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