PAGASA forecasts place Manila's June 15 maximum near 32–34°C amid the southwest monsoon's onset, with 40% rain chance and high humidity that favors afternoon convection. These conditions often cap peaks through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling from scattered showers, supporting the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C. Model consensus and historical June baselines near 31–32°C explain why 34°C commands lower implied odds, while drier spells or delayed rainfall could briefly allow 34°C or higher. Updated short-range guidance and satellite monitoring of convective activity over the next 24 hours will refine the exact threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on June 15?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 15?
33°C 38%
32°C 28%
34°C 20%
31°C 3.8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 15, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
28%
33°C
38%
34°C
20%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 38%
32°C 28%
34°C 20%
31°C 3.8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 15, 2026
28°C or below
$450 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$211 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$150 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$441 ปริมาณ
4%
32°C
$141 ปริมาณ
28%
33°C
$93 ปริมาณ
38%
34°C
$784 ปริมาณ
20%
35°C
$410 ปริมาณ
3%
36°C
$138 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C
$93 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C or higher
$30 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA forecasts place Manila's June 15 maximum near 32–34°C amid the southwest monsoon's onset, with 40% rain chance and high humidity that favors afternoon convection. These conditions often cap peaks through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling from scattered showers, supporting the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C. Model consensus and historical June baselines near 31–32°C explain why 34°C commands lower implied odds, while drier spells or delayed rainfall could briefly allow 34°C or higher. Updated short-range guidance and satellite monitoring of convective activity over the next 24 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,941วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA forecasts place Manila's June 15 maximum near 32–34°C amid the southwest monsoon's onset, with 40% rain chance and high humidity that favors afternoon convection. These conditions often cap peaks through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling from scattered showers, supporting the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C. Model consensus and historical June baselines near 31–32°C explain why 34°C commands lower implied odds, while drier spells or delayed rainfall could briefly allow 34°C or higher. Updated short-range guidance and satellite monitoring of convective activity over the next 24 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,941วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA forecasts place Manila's June 15 maximum near 32–34°C amid the southwest monsoon's onset, with 40% rain chance and high humidity that favors afternoon convection. These conditions often cap peaks through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling from scattered showers, supporting the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C. Model consensus and historical June baselines near 31–32°C explain why 34°C commands lower implied odds, while drier spells or delayed rainfall could briefly allow 34°C or higher. Updated short-range guidance and satellite monitoring of convective activity over the next 24 hours will refine the exact threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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