Recent model consensus from European and global ensembles points to widespread cloud cover and scattered thundery showers across central Poland on June 15, limiting solar heating and anchoring Warsaw’s daily maximum near 17–18 °C. Moderate westerly flow advects cooler maritime air while daytime instability caps further warming, producing a narrow probability distribution that explains the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Minor differences in shower timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by one degree, accounting for the tight odds; clearer breaks or delayed precipitation would favor 18 °C, whereas earlier or heavier rain would favor 17 °C. Official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations tomorrow will resolve the market once the maximum is recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 15?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 15?
17°C 40%
18°C 38%
19°C 10%
16°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 15, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
9%
17°C
40%
18°C
38%
19°C
10%
20°C or higher
3%
17°C 40%
18°C 38%
19°C 10%
16°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 15, 2026
10°C or below
$605 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$233 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$222 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$218 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$565 ปริมาณ
1%
15°C
$709 ปริมาณ
1%
16°C
$832 ปริมาณ
9%
17°C
$371 ปริมาณ
40%
18°C
$1,004 ปริมาณ
38%
19°C
$306 ปริมาณ
10%
20°C or higher
$1,083 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European and global ensembles points to widespread cloud cover and scattered thundery showers across central Poland on June 15, limiting solar heating and anchoring Warsaw’s daily maximum near 17–18 °C. Moderate westerly flow advects cooler maritime air while daytime instability caps further warming, producing a narrow probability distribution that explains the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Minor differences in shower timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by one degree, accounting for the tight odds; clearer breaks or delayed precipitation would favor 18 °C, whereas earlier or heavier rain would favor 17 °C. Official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations tomorrow will resolve the market once the maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,089วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European and global ensembles points to widespread cloud cover and scattered thundery showers across central Poland on June 15, limiting solar heating and anchoring Warsaw’s daily maximum near 17–18 °C. Moderate westerly flow advects cooler maritime air while daytime instability caps further warming, producing a narrow probability distribution that explains the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Minor differences in shower timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by one degree, accounting for the tight odds; clearer breaks or delayed precipitation would favor 18 °C, whereas earlier or heavier rain would favor 17 °C. Official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations tomorrow will resolve the market once the maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,089วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from European and global ensembles points to widespread cloud cover and scattered thundery showers across central Poland on June 15, limiting solar heating and anchoring Warsaw’s daily maximum near 17–18 °C. Moderate westerly flow advects cooler maritime air while daytime instability caps further warming, producing a narrow probability distribution that explains the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Minor differences in shower timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by one degree, accounting for the tight odds; clearer breaks or delayed precipitation would favor 18 °C, whereas earlier or heavier rain would favor 17 °C. Official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations tomorrow will resolve the market once the maximum is recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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