Forecast models from sources like the ECMWF and GFS currently converge on a daily maximum near 19°C for Warsaw on June 16, supporting the market's tight clustering at 19°C (40%) and 20°C (34%). A weak westerly flow with embedded moisture and variable cloud cover is expected to moderate insolation, limiting peak heating; any earlier or thicker stratiform cloud or light showers would cap readings at 18°C, while brief afternoon breaks could allow a brief push to 20–21°C. Surface winds around 15–20 km/h further enhance mixing and evaporative cooling, narrowing the distribution. With resolution hinging on precise timing of these mesoscale features in the next 48 hours, traders are weighting the ensemble spread rather than a single deterministic run.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 16?
19°C 39%
20°C 34%
18°C 13%
21°C 6.3%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
13%
19°C
39%
20°C
34%
21°C
6%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 39%
20°C 34%
18°C 13%
21°C 6.3%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
13%
19°C
39%
20°C
34%
21°C
6%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the ECMWF and GFS currently converge on a daily maximum near 19°C for Warsaw on June 16, supporting the market's tight clustering at 19°C (40%) and 20°C (34%). A weak westerly flow with embedded moisture and variable cloud cover is expected to moderate insolation, limiting peak heating; any earlier or thicker stratiform cloud or light showers would cap readings at 18°C, while brief afternoon breaks could allow a brief push to 20–21°C. Surface winds around 15–20 km/h further enhance mixing and evaporative cooling, narrowing the distribution. With resolution hinging on precise timing of these mesoscale features in the next 48 hours, traders are weighting the ensemble spread rather than a single deterministic run.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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