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icon for Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner

icon for Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner

Perry Johnson 47%

John James 41%

Mike Cox 8.6%

Anthony Hudson 1.8%

Polymarket

$34,455 Vol.

Perry Johnson 47%

John James 41%

Mike Cox 8.6%

Anthony Hudson 1.8%

Polymarket

$34,455 Vol.

Perry Johnson

$11,718 Vol.

47%

John James

$10,828 Vol.

41%

Mike Cox

$3,715 Vol.

9%

Anthony Hudson

$1,067 Vol.

2%

Joyce Gipson

$717 Vol.

1%

Karla Wagner

$786 Vol.

<1%

Aric Nesbitt

$1,528 Vol.

<1%

Ralph Rebandt

$965 Vol.

<1%

Tom Leonard

$1,377 Vol.

<1%

William Null

$862 Vol.

<1%

Evan Space

$893 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus narrowly favors self-funding businessman Perry Johnson at 46.5% over U.S. Rep. John James at 41% in the Michigan Republican gubernatorial primary, reflecting Johnson's aggressive ad spending exceeding $10 million and confirmed ballot access after submitting nominating petitions on April 21—unlike his 2022 disqualification over invalid signatures. Recent MIRS/Mitchell polling from May 1-7 shows James leading 32%-23% amid high undecideds and a fragmented field with former AG Mike Cox at 19%, yet markets discount polls in this low-turnout August 4 contest where spending often sways turnout. Ongoing mutual signature challenges by campaigns add uncertainty, while Johnson's April lawsuit alleging James' "Governor" branding misleads voters heightens rivalry; endorsements or debates could tip the balance.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$34,455
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus narrowly favors self-funding businessman Perry Johnson at 46.5% over U.S. Rep. John James at 41% in the Michigan Republican gubernatorial primary, reflecting Johnson's aggressive ad spending exceeding $10 million and confirmed ballot access after submitting nominating petitions on April 21—unlike his 2022 disqualification over invalid signatures. Recent MIRS/Mitchell polling from May 1-7 shows James leading 32%-23% amid high undecideds and a fragmented field with former AG Mike Cox at 19%, yet markets discount polls in this low-turnout August 4 contest where spending often sways turnout. Ongoing mutual signature challenges by campaigns add uncertainty, while Johnson's April lawsuit alleging James' "Governor" branding misleads voters heightens rivalry; endorsements or debates could tip the balance.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$34,455
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Perry Johnson" at 47%, followed by "John James" at 41%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 47¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $34.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Perry Johnson" at 47%, meaning the market assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John James" at 41%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.