Recent polls place President Trump's job approval near 35-40 percent amid sustained economic discontent and fallout from the Iran conflict, including higher gas prices that most Americans blame on administration policy. Traders see these pressures—coupled with low marks on inflation and cost-of-living issues—as anchoring probabilities tightly around the 38-40 range for the June 19 reading. The brief window until then reduces scope for sudden reversals, though any major diplomatic breakthrough, economic data release, or escalation in energy markets could shift the final tally enough to separate the clustered outcomes. Current market pricing reflects this narrow band of likely results based on the latest survey averages.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於<38.0 42%
38.0–38.4 42%
38.5–38.9 42%
39.0–39.4 42%
最新
最新
2026-06-19
<38.0
42%
38.0–38.4
42%
38.5–38.9
42%
39.0–39.4
42%
39.5–39.9
42%
40.0以上
42%
<38.0 42%
38.0–38.4 42%
38.5–38.9 42%
39.0–39.4 42%
最新
最新
2026-06-19
<38.0
$0 交易量
42%
38.0–38.4
$0 交易量
42%
38.5–38.9
$0 交易量
42%
39.0–39.4
$0 交易量
42%
39.5–39.9
$0 交易量
42%
40.0以上
$0 交易量
42%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 19, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls place President Trump's job approval near 35-40 percent amid sustained economic discontent and fallout from the Iran conflict, including higher gas prices that most Americans blame on administration policy. Traders see these pressures—coupled with low marks on inflation and cost-of-living issues—as anchoring probabilities tightly around the 38-40 range for the June 19 reading. The brief window until then reduces scope for sudden reversals, though any major diplomatic breakthrough, economic data release, or escalation in energy markets could shift the final tally enough to separate the clustered outcomes. Current market pricing reflects this narrow band of likely results based on the latest survey averages.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 19, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市場開放時間： Jun 12, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-06-19市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 19, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls place President Trump's job approval near 35-40 percent amid sustained economic discontent and fallout from the Iran conflict, including higher gas prices that most Americans blame on administration policy. Traders see these pressures—coupled with low marks on inflation and cost-of-living issues—as anchoring probabilities tightly around the 38-40 range for the June 19 reading. The brief window until then reduces scope for sudden reversals, though any major diplomatic breakthrough, economic data release, or escalation in energy markets could shift the final tally enough to separate the clustered outcomes. Current market pricing reflects this narrow band of likely results based on the latest survey averages.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 19, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-06-19市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place President Trump's job approval near 35-40 percent amid sustained economic discontent and fallout from the Iran conflict, including higher gas prices that most Americans blame on administration policy. Traders see these pressures—coupled with low marks on inflation and cost-of-living issues—as anchoring probabilities tightly around the 38-40 range for the June 19 reading. The brief window until then reduces scope for sudden reversals, though any major diplomatic breakthrough, economic data release, or escalation in energy markets could shift the final tally enough to separate the clustered outcomes. Current market pricing reflects this narrow band of likely results based on the latest survey averages.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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