Recent polling from multiple firms, including Economist/YouGov and Reuters/Ipsos, has placed President Trump's job approval at or near second-term lows around 35-40 percent, driven by widespread dissatisfaction with inflation, cost-of-living pressures, and handling of the Iran conflict alongside expectations of rising gasoline prices. These results, released in the first week of June, reflect sustained negative momentum without offsetting positive developments in the immediate period. Traders appear to view this environment as likely to produce further weekly erosion in approval metrics, consistent with the current market pricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Up
最新
最新
2026-06-12
Up
最新
最新
2026-06-12
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 5, 2026, than on June 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling from multiple firms, including Economist/YouGov and Reuters/Ipsos, has placed President Trump's job approval at or near second-term lows around 35-40 percent, driven by widespread dissatisfaction with inflation, cost-of-living pressures, and handling of the Iran conflict alongside expectations of rising gasoline prices. These results, released in the first week of June, reflect sustained negative momentum without offsetting positive developments in the immediate period. Traders appear to view this environment as likely to produce further weekly erosion in approval metrics, consistent with the current market pricing.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 5, 2026, than on June 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 5, 2026, than on June 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市場開放時間: Jun 5, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
交易量
$73結束日期
2026-06-12市場開放時間
Jun 5, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 5, 2026, than on June 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling from multiple firms, including Economist/YouGov and Reuters/Ipsos, has placed President Trump's job approval at or near second-term lows around 35-40 percent, driven by widespread dissatisfaction with inflation, cost-of-living pressures, and handling of the Iran conflict alongside expectations of rising gasoline prices. These results, released in the first week of June, reflect sustained negative momentum without offsetting positive developments in the immediate period. Traders appear to view this environment as likely to produce further weekly erosion in approval metrics, consistent with the current market pricing.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 5, 2026, than on June 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 5, 2026, than on June 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$73結束日期
2026-06-12市場開放時間
Jun 5, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling from multiple firms, including Economist/YouGov and Reuters/Ipsos, has placed President Trump's job approval at or near second-term lows around 35-40 percent, driven by widespread dissatisfaction with inflation, cost-of-living pressures, and handling of the Iran conflict alongside expectations of rising gasoline prices. These results, released in the first week of June, reflect sustained negative momentum without offsetting positive developments in the immediate period. Traders appear to view this environment as likely to produce further weekly erosion in approval metrics, consistent with the current market pricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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