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icon for 紐約市長#職位2026年6月12日至6月19日?

紐約市長#職位2026年6月12日至6月19日?

icon for 紐約市長#職位2026年6月12日至6月19日?

紐約市長#職位2026年6月12日至6月19日?

60-79 36%

40-59 26%

100-119 25.1%

120-139 5.0%

Polymarket
最新

60-79 36%

40-59 26%

100-119 25.1%

120-139 5.0%

Polymarket
最新

20-39

$385 交易量

3%

40-59

$19 交易量

26%

60-79

$67 交易量

36%

80-99

$161 交易量

33%

100-119

$476 交易量

25%

120-139

$386 交易量

5%

140-159

$319 交易量

12%

160-179

$650 交易量

4%

180-199

$428 交易量

2%

200+

$568 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Zohran Mamdani, who took office in January 2026, maintains a high-volume X presence via the official @NYCMayor account, with activity closely tied to City Hall announcements, press events, and community outreach.** Recent days show multiple releases around June 12–13 on topics including housing initiatives, expanded summer programs, Puerto Rican Heritage events, soccer field access tied to the FIFA World Cup, and Knicks postseason economic impacts, which typically generate clusters of posts promoting policy, schedules, and updates. Similar prior weekly windows resolved in the 20–39 range, reflecting steady but not extreme daily output. The current tight spread across the 40–119 buckets stems from uncertainty over whether ongoing sports-related visibility, routine governance updates, or any weekend slowdown will push volume higher or keep it moderate. Scheduled events like further World Cup preparations or budget-related communications through June 19 could separate outcomes by increasing or capping daily posts. Trader consensus reflects this variability in the mayor’s established communication pattern without assuming acceleration or restraint.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$4,196
結束日期
2026-06-19
市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Zohran Mamdani, who took office in January 2026, maintains a high-volume X presence via the official @NYCMayor account, with activity closely tied to City Hall announcements, press events, and community outreach.** Recent days show multiple releases around June 12–13 on topics including housing initiatives, expanded summer programs, Puerto Rican Heritage events, soccer field access tied to the FIFA World Cup, and Knicks postseason economic impacts, which typically generate clusters of posts promoting policy, schedules, and updates. Similar prior weekly windows resolved in the 20–39 range, reflecting steady but not extreme daily output. The current tight spread across the 40–119 buckets stems from uncertainty over whether ongoing sports-related visibility, routine governance updates, or any weekend slowdown will push volume higher or keep it moderate. Scheduled events like further World Cup preparations or budget-related communications through June 19 could separate outcomes by increasing or capping daily posts. Trader consensus reflects this variability in the mayor’s established communication pattern without assuming acceleration or restraint.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$4,196
結束日期
2026-06-19
市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"紐約市長#職位2026年6月12日至6月19日?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "60-79" at 36%, followed by "80-99" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"紐約市長#職位2026年6月12日至6月19日?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "紐約市長#職位2026年6月12日至6月19日?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "紐約市長#職位2026年6月12日至6月19日?" is "60-79" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "80-99" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "紐約市長#職位2026年6月12日至6月19日?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.