Skip to main content
icon for Elon Musk在2026年7月# tweets ？
政治·Tweet Markets

Elon Musk在2026年7月# tweets ？

icon for Elon Musk在2026年7月# tweets ？
政治·Tweet Markets

Elon Musk在2026年7月# tweets ？

7月 1

8月 1

7月 1

8月 1

840-879 8.0%

920-959 8.0%

880-919 7.8%

800-839 7.6%

Polymarket

$210,968 交易量

840-879 8.0%

920-959 8.0%

880-919 7.8%

800-839 7.6%

Polymarket

$210,968 交易量

<20

$27,117 交易量

<1%

20-39

$5,932 交易量

<1%

40-59

$280 交易量

<1%

60-79

$4,475 交易量

<1%

80-99

$1,400 交易量

<1%

100-119

$2,277 交易量

<1%

120-139

$2,551 交易量

<1%

140-159

$1,395 交易量

<1%

160-179

$1,292 交易量

<1%

180-199

$1,960 交易量

<1%

200-219

$2,290 交易量

<1%

220-239

$3,712 交易量

<1%

240-259

$5,733 交易量

<1%

260-279

$6,578 交易量

<1%

280-299

$12,124 交易量

<1%

300-319

$9,890 交易量

<1%

320-339

$4,716 交易量

<1%

340-359

$5,068 交易量

<1%

360-379

$10,406 交易量

<1%

380-399

$11,693 交易量

<1%

400-419

$8,911 交易量

<1%

420-439

$7,540 交易量

<1%

440-459

$7,624 交易量

1%

460-479

$1,622 交易量

1%

480-499

$1,666 交易量

1%

500-519

$1,951 交易量

1%

520-539

$4,647 交易量

1%

540-559

$3,272 交易量

1%

560-579

$4,456 交易量

1%

580-599

$1,142 交易量

2%

600-639

$2,981 交易量

3%

640-679

$4,664 交易量

4%

680-719

$2,856 交易量

5%

720-759

$1,832 交易量

7%

760-799

$1,732 交易量

7%

800-839

$4,814 交易量

8%

840-879

$1,987 交易量

8%

880-919

$2,367 交易量

8%

920-959

$1,304 交易量

8%

960-999

$1,278 交易量

6%

1000-1039

$1,785 交易量

6%

1040-1079

$1,514 交易量

5%

1080-1119

$1,815 交易量

4%

1120-1159

$2,447 交易量

3%

1160-1199

$1,884 交易量

3%

1200-1239

$2,130 交易量

2%

1240-1279

$1,421 交易量

2%

1280-1319

$1,966 交易量

2%

1320-1359

$2,025 交易量

1%

1360-1399

$1,904 交易量

1%

1400+

$2,545 交易量

6%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see Elon Musk's July 2026 tweet volume as highly variable, with the 920-959 range commanding the top share at 8.2% in a dispersed field where no single bracket exceeds single digits. Recent short-term markets show daily averages fluctuating between roughly 15 and 30 posts, consistent with his established X activity patterns tied to company updates, product launches, and public commentary. The concentration around 700-1000 tweets stems from baseline engagement levels that can accelerate during news cycles at Tesla or SpaceX yet contract in quieter stretches. Differentiation among contenders rests on the presence or absence of high-visibility events that typically drive spikes, while consolidation behind one outcome would require sustained momentum from platform interactions or business milestones within the month.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$210,968
結束日期
2026-08-01
市場開放時間
May 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

結算來源

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see Elon Musk's July 2026 tweet volume as highly variable, with the 920-959 range commanding the top share at 8.2% in a dispersed field where no single bracket exceeds single digits. Recent short-term markets show daily averages fluctuating between roughly 15 and 30 posts, consistent with his established X activity patterns tied to company updates, product launches, and public commentary. The concentration around 700-1000 tweets stems from baseline engagement levels that can accelerate during news cycles at Tesla or SpaceX yet contract in quieter stretches. Differentiation among contenders rests on the presence or absence of high-visibility events that typically drive spikes, while consolidation behind one outcome would require sustained momentum from platform interactions or business milestones within the month.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$210,968
結束日期
2026-08-01
市場開放時間
May 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

結算來源

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk在2026年7月# tweets ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 51+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "800-839" at 8%, followed by "840-879" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 8¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 8% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk在2026年7月# tweets ？" has generated $211K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk在2026年7月# tweets ？," browse the 51+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Elon Musk在2026年7月# tweets ？" is "800-839" at just 8%, with "840-879" close behind at 8%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk在2026年7月# tweets ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.