Recent trader consensus clusters tightly around 180-239 tweets for the June 16-23 window, reflecting Elon Musk’s established weekly cadence of roughly 25-34 posts per day amid routine X engagement, company commentary, and policy reactions. Multiple prior weekly markets have resolved in this range, supported by steady output without viral spikes or extended rants. Key swing factors include scheduled SpaceX Falcon 9 launches mid-week that often generate real-time updates, alongside any Tesla or xAI developments. Absence of major political flashpoints or personal announcements keeps probabilities balanced, while historical patterns suggest modest upside only if news cycles intensify.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於180-199 18%
200-219 18%
220-239 16%
240-259 15%
$32,576 交易量
$32,576 交易量
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
1%
120-139
3%
140-159
10%
160-179
11%
180-199
18%
200-219
18%
220-239
16%
240-259
15%
260-279
10%
280-299
8%
300-319
5%
320-339
4%
340-359
3%
360-379
3%
380-399
1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 18%
200-219 18%
220-239 16%
240-259 15%
$32,576 交易量
$32,576 交易量
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
1%
120-139
3%
140-159
10%
160-179
11%
180-199
18%
200-219
18%
220-239
16%
240-259
15%
260-279
10%
280-299
8%
300-319
5%
320-339
4%
340-359
3%
360-379
3%
380-399
1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間: Jun 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent trader consensus clusters tightly around 180-239 tweets for the June 16-23 window, reflecting Elon Musk’s established weekly cadence of roughly 25-34 posts per day amid routine X engagement, company commentary, and policy reactions. Multiple prior weekly markets have resolved in this range, supported by steady output without viral spikes or extended rants. Key swing factors include scheduled SpaceX Falcon 9 launches mid-week that often generate real-time updates, alongside any Tesla or xAI developments. Absence of major political flashpoints or personal announcements keeps probabilities balanced, while historical patterns suggest modest upside only if news cycles intensify.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions