Steven Spielberg’s original sci-fi thriller Disclosure Day posted a robust $19 million opening day across 3,824 theaters, locking in projections for a $44 million domestic weekend that aligns precisely with the market’s 96% favored 43-47m outcome. Strong pre-release tracking in the $40-50m range, combined with Spielberg’s enduring draw and minimal direct competition this frame, has driven trader consensus toward this narrow band. An upset into higher or lower brackets would require significant word-of-mouth shifts or unexpected holdover strength from titles like Obsession, though current data shows little room for such movement before the weekend closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於"Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office
43-47m 96%
39-43m 3.6%
>47m <1%
35-39m <1%
$325,897 交易量
$325,897 交易量
<35m
<1%
35-39m
<1%
39-43m
4%
43-47m
96%
>47m
<1%
43-47m 96%
39-43m 3.6%
>47m <1%
35-39m <1%
$325,897 交易量
$325,897 交易量
<35m
<1%
35-39m
<1%
39-43m
4%
43-47m
96%
>47m
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間: Jun 8, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Steven Spielberg’s original sci-fi thriller Disclosure Day posted a robust $19 million opening day across 3,824 theaters, locking in projections for a $44 million domestic weekend that aligns precisely with the market’s 96% favored 43-47m outcome. Strong pre-release tracking in the $40-50m range, combined with Spielberg’s enduring draw and minimal direct competition this frame, has driven trader consensus toward this narrow band. An upset into higher or lower brackets would require significant word-of-mouth shifts or unexpected holdover strength from titles like Obsession, though current data shows little room for such movement before the weekend closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions