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icon for 下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?

下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?

icon for 下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?

下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?

尚未選出龐德 75%

亞倫·泰勒-強森 10.0%

Callum Turner 8.7%

雅各布·艾洛迪 3.3%

Polymarket

$2,178,665 交易量

尚未選出龐德 75%

亞倫·泰勒-強森 10.0%

Callum Turner 8.7%

雅各布·艾洛迪 3.3%

Polymarket

$2,178,665 交易量

icon for 尚未選出龐德

尚未選出龐德

$268,060 交易量

75%

icon for 亞倫·泰勒-強森

亞倫·泰勒-強森

$116,851 交易量

8%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$143,436 交易量

9%

icon for 雅各布·艾洛迪

雅各布·艾洛迪

$258,024 交易量

3%

icon for 亨利·卡維爾

亨利·卡維爾

$315,422 交易量

1%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$40,383 交易量

1%

icon for 哈里斯·迪金森

哈里斯·迪金森

$156,791 交易量

1%

icon for 湯姆·哈迪

湯姆·哈迪

$84,446 交易量

1%

icon for 湯姆·霍蘭德

湯姆·霍蘭德

$78,706 交易量

1%

icon for 詹姆斯·諾頓

詹姆斯·諾頓

$122,032 交易量

<1%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$225,210 交易量

<1%

icon for 皮爾斯·布洛斯南

皮爾斯·布洛斯南

$189,715 交易量

<1%

icon for 傑克·洛登

傑克·洛登

$88,451 交易量

<1%

icon for 羅伯特·詹姆斯-柯利爾

羅伯特·詹姆斯-柯利爾

$43,761 交易量

<1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$47,376 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen soon at 74.5% implied probability, reflecting Amazon MGM Studios' May 14 confirmation that auditions have officially begun under acclaimed casting director Nina Gold for the Denis Villeneuve-helmed Bond 26 reboot, slated for 2028 release. The studio's deliberate pace—echoed by executives urging patience in April—signals no imminent announcement amid post-Daniel Craig transition uncertainties. Callum Turner leads contenders at 8.7% on persistent frontrunner buzz from betting markets and fan campaigns, closely trailed by Aaron Taylor-Johnson at 7.9% amid his action-star momentum, while Jacob Elordi's recent "pole position" reports from early May have nudged his odds to 3.3%; watch for test screenings or leaks as key catalysts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,178,665
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen soon at 74.5% implied probability, reflecting Amazon MGM Studios' May 14 confirmation that auditions have officially begun under acclaimed casting director Nina Gold for the Denis Villeneuve-helmed Bond 26 reboot, slated for 2028 release. The studio's deliberate pace—echoed by executives urging patience in April—signals no imminent announcement amid post-Daniel Craig transition uncertainties. Callum Turner leads contenders at 8.7% on persistent frontrunner buzz from betting markets and fan campaigns, closely trailed by Aaron Taylor-Johnson at 7.9% amid his action-star momentum, while Jacob Elordi's recent "pole position" reports from early May have nudged his odds to 3.3%; watch for test screenings or leaks as key catalysts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,178,665
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "尚未選出龐德" at 75%, followed by "Callum Turner" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?" has generated $2.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?" is "尚未選出龐德" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Callum Turner" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.