Trader consensus heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen soon at 74.5% implied probability, reflecting Amazon MGM Studios' May 14 confirmation that auditions have officially begun under acclaimed casting director Nina Gold for the Denis Villeneuve-helmed Bond 26 reboot, slated for 2028 release. The studio's deliberate pace—echoed by executives urging patience in April—signals no imminent announcement amid post-Daniel Craig transition uncertainties. Callum Turner leads contenders at 8.7% on persistent frontrunner buzz from betting markets and fan campaigns, closely trailed by Aaron Taylor-Johnson at 7.9% amid his action-star momentum, while Jacob Elordi's recent "pole position" reports from early May have nudged his odds to 3.3%; watch for test screenings or leaks as key catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?
下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?
尚未選出龐德 75%
亞倫·泰勒-強森 10.0%
Callum Turner 8.7%
雅各布·艾洛迪 3.3%
$2,178,665 交易量
$2,178,665 交易量

尚未選出龐德
75%

亞倫·泰勒-強森
8%

Callum Turner
9%

雅各布·艾洛迪
3%

亨利·卡維爾
1%

Theo James
1%

哈里斯·迪金森
1%

湯姆·哈迪
1%

湯姆·霍蘭德
1%

詹姆斯·諾頓
<1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

皮爾斯·布洛斯南
<1%

傑克·洛登
<1%

羅伯特·詹姆斯-柯利爾
<1%

Josh O'Connor
<1%
尚未選出龐德 75%
亞倫·泰勒-強森 10.0%
Callum Turner 8.7%
雅各布·艾洛迪 3.3%
$2,178,665 交易量
$2,178,665 交易量

尚未選出龐德
75%

亞倫·泰勒-強森
8%

Callum Turner
9%

雅各布·艾洛迪
3%

亨利·卡維爾
1%

Theo James
1%

哈里斯·迪金森
1%

湯姆·哈迪
1%

湯姆·霍蘭德
1%

詹姆斯·諾頓
<1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

皮爾斯·布洛斯南
<1%

傑克·洛登
<1%

羅伯特·詹姆斯-柯利爾
<1%

Josh O'Connor
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen soon at 74.5% implied probability, reflecting Amazon MGM Studios' May 14 confirmation that auditions have officially begun under acclaimed casting director Nina Gold for the Denis Villeneuve-helmed Bond 26 reboot, slated for 2028 release. The studio's deliberate pace—echoed by executives urging patience in April—signals no imminent announcement amid post-Daniel Craig transition uncertainties. Callum Turner leads contenders at 8.7% on persistent frontrunner buzz from betting markets and fan campaigns, closely trailed by Aaron Taylor-Johnson at 7.9% amid his action-star momentum, while Jacob Elordi's recent "pole position" reports from early May have nudged his odds to 3.3%; watch for test screenings or leaks as key catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions