Recent downward revisions in pre-release tracking have become the dominant factor shaping trader consensus on Supergirl’s domestic opening weekend, with NRG and other firms now pegging the June 26 debut around $51 million after earlier estimates exceeded $55 million. This places the Warner Bros. DC Studios title in a tight band that overlaps multiple lower-bracket outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over whether strong Superman goodwill and Milly Alcock’s profile can offset softer awareness and direct competition from Toy Story 5. Analysts cite a potential floor near $39–45 million amid mixed comparable-film performance for female-led superhero entries, while upside hinges on last-minute presales and early reviews. The film opens nationwide this Friday, with final numbers likely determining whether results land above or below the closely matched 43–47 million and 39–43 million ranges.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於《女超人》周末首映票房(下括弧)
4,300萬-4,700萬 44%
3,900萬-4,300萬 23%
>4700萬 21%
3,500萬-3,900萬 15%
低於3500萬
3%
3,500萬-3,900萬
15%
3,900萬-4,300萬
23%
4,300萬-4,700萬
44%
>4700萬
21%
4,300萬-4,700萬 44%
3,900萬-4,300萬 23%
>4700萬 21%
3,500萬-3,900萬 15%
低於3500萬
3%
3,500萬-3,900萬
15%
3,900萬-4,300萬
23%
4,300萬-4,700萬
44%
>4700萬
21%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間: Jun 22, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent downward revisions in pre-release tracking have become the dominant factor shaping trader consensus on Supergirl’s domestic opening weekend, with NRG and other firms now pegging the June 26 debut around $51 million after earlier estimates exceeded $55 million. This places the Warner Bros. DC Studios title in a tight band that overlaps multiple lower-bracket outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over whether strong Superman goodwill and Milly Alcock’s profile can offset softer awareness and direct competition from Toy Story 5. Analysts cite a potential floor near $39–45 million amid mixed comparable-film performance for female-led superhero entries, while upside hinges on last-minute presales and early reviews. The film opens nationwide this Friday, with final numbers likely determining whether results land above or below the closely matched 43–47 million and 39–43 million ranges.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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