Trump’s active Truth Social presence and ongoing Iran negotiations remain the dominant drivers of sentiment in this word-or-phrase market. Fresh threats to resume strikes if proxies in Lebanon act up, combined with mixed signals about the June 15 memorandum of understanding and Strait of Hormuz access, have traders focused on recurring terms such as “deal,” “strike,” “proxies,” and “catastrophe.” Executive-order signings and a scheduled June 24 rally appearance add potential platforms for signature phrasing. Historical patterns show Trump’s rhetoric often escalates or pivots quickly during live diplomatic moments, creating swing factors around any new Vance or G7 updates before the week closes. Traders weigh these catalysts against the market’s short resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Six Seven
33%
Uranium
60%
Golf
43%
Traitor
29%
Antifa
26%
Third World
32%
Women's Sports
100%
Air Force
100%
Nothing ever happens
16%
Maduro
48%
Dell
47%
Make America Healthy Again
63%
Drill baby drill
50%
Truck
100%
Boom / Booming
68%
Manufacturing
99%
Messi
25%
Ronaldo
26%
$2,196 交易量
Six Seven
33%
Uranium
60%
Golf
43%
Traitor
29%
Antifa
26%
Third World
32%
Women's Sports
100%
Air Force
100%
Nothing ever happens
16%
Maduro
48%
Dell
47%
Make America Healthy Again
63%
Drill baby drill
50%
Truck
100%
Boom / Booming
68%
Manufacturing
99%
Messi
25%
Ronaldo
26%
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
市場開放時間: Jun 22, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s active Truth Social presence and ongoing Iran negotiations remain the dominant drivers of sentiment in this word-or-phrase market. Fresh threats to resume strikes if proxies in Lebanon act up, combined with mixed signals about the June 15 memorandum of understanding and Strait of Hormuz access, have traders focused on recurring terms such as “deal,” “strike,” “proxies,” and “catastrophe.” Executive-order signings and a scheduled June 24 rally appearance add potential platforms for signature phrasing. Historical patterns show Trump’s rhetoric often escalates or pivots quickly during live diplomatic moments, creating swing factors around any new Vance or G7 updates before the week closes. Traders weigh these catalysts against the market’s short resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions