Elon Musk’s typical weekly posting volume of roughly 180–240 tweets on X underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 180–239 range, with 200–219 edging out at 19.5%. Traders are pricing in a steady baseline cadence of 25–30 posts per day absent major catalysts during the June 19–26 window, such as earnings releases or high-profile product launches, though routine SpaceX updates or viral threads can easily swing totals by dozens. Recent similar weekly markets have resolved in this band, reflecting consistent engagement patterns rather than dramatic spikes or lulls, leaving the field highly competitive as minor news flow or personal activity could differentiate the leading brackets.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於200-219 20%
180-199 19%
220-239 18%
160-179 13%
最新
$222,586 交易量
最新
$222,586 交易量
2026-06-26
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
3%
140-159
8%
160-179
13%
180-199
19%
200-219
20%
220-239
18%
240-259
13%
260-279
6%
280-299
3%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
200-219 20%
180-199 19%
220-239 18%
160-179 13%
最新
$222,586 交易量
最新
$222,586 交易量
2026-06-26
<20
$11,381 交易量
<1%
20-39
$10,371 交易量
<1%
40-59
$11,571 交易量
<1%
60-79
$17,179 交易量
<1%
80-99
$6,419 交易量
<1%
100-119
$676 交易量
1%
120-139
$758 交易量
3%
140-159
$221 交易量
8%
160-179
$884 交易量
13%
180-199
$1,028 交易量
19%
200-219
$760 交易量
20%
220-239
$456 交易量
18%
240-259
$245 交易量
13%
260-279
$229 交易量
6%
280-299
$741 交易量
3%
300-319
$771 交易量
1%
320-339
$1,574 交易量
1%
340-359
$3,486 交易量
1%
360-379
$665 交易量
<1%
380-399
$10,788 交易量
<1%
400-419
$10,767 交易量
<1%
420-439
$10,371 交易量
<1%
440-459
$6,807 交易量
<1%
460-479
$23,205 交易量
<1%
480-499
$18,555 交易量
<1%
500+
$88,689 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 19 12:00 PM ET to June 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical weekly posting volume of roughly 180–240 tweets on X underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 180–239 range, with 200–219 edging out at 19.5%. Traders are pricing in a steady baseline cadence of 25–30 posts per day absent major catalysts during the June 19–26 window, such as earnings releases or high-profile product launches, though routine SpaceX updates or viral threads can easily swing totals by dozens. Recent similar weekly markets have resolved in this band, reflecting consistent engagement patterns rather than dramatic spikes or lulls, leaving the field highly competitive as minor news flow or personal activity could differentiate the leading brackets.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 19 12:00 PM ET to June 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Jun 16, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$222,586結束日期
2026-06-26市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 19 12:00 PM ET to June 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical weekly posting volume of roughly 180–240 tweets on X underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 180–239 range, with 200–219 edging out at 19.5%. Traders are pricing in a steady baseline cadence of 25–30 posts per day absent major catalysts during the June 19–26 window, such as earnings releases or high-profile product launches, though routine SpaceX updates or viral threads can easily swing totals by dozens. Recent similar weekly markets have resolved in this band, reflecting consistent engagement patterns rather than dramatic spikes or lulls, leaving the field highly competitive as minor news flow or personal activity could differentiate the leading brackets.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 19 12:00 PM ET to June 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$222,586結束日期
2026-06-26市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s typical weekly posting volume of roughly 180–240 tweets on X underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 180–239 range, with 200–219 edging out at 19.5%. Traders are pricing in a steady baseline cadence of 25–30 posts per day absent major catalysts during the June 19–26 window, such as earnings releases or high-profile product launches, though routine SpaceX updates or viral threads can easily swing totals by dozens. Recent similar weekly markets have resolved in this band, reflecting consistent engagement patterns rather than dramatic spikes or lulls, leaving the field highly competitive as minor news flow or personal activity could differentiate the leading brackets.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions