Trump's recent public statements have emphasized diplomacy and potential engagement with Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's Supreme Leader since March 2026, including openness to a meeting contingent on a deal and descriptions of the leader as more rational than his predecessor. Negotiations over a U.S.-Iran ceasefire framework advanced rapidly in mid-June, focusing on reopening the Strait of Hormuz and extending a pause in hostilities after months of conflict. With traders pricing the short window through Friday against this backdrop of deal momentum and restrained rhetoric, the 87.5% implied probability on no public insult reflects the absence of any scheduled events or escalatory signals likely to trigger such an outcome before the deadline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
最新
最新
2026-06-19
是
最新
最新
2026-06-19
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Mojtaba Khamenei personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's recent public statements have emphasized diplomacy and potential engagement with Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's Supreme Leader since March 2026, including openness to a meeting contingent on a deal and descriptions of the leader as more rational than his predecessor. Negotiations over a U.S.-Iran ceasefire framework advanced rapidly in mid-June, focusing on reopening the Strait of Hormuz and extending a pause in hostilities after months of conflict. With traders pricing the short window through Friday against this backdrop of deal momentum and restrained rhetoric, the 87.5% implied probability on no public insult reflects the absence of any scheduled events or escalatory signals likely to trigger such an outcome before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Mojtaba Khamenei personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jun 15, 2026, 8:37 PM ET
交易量
$24結束日期
2026-06-19市場開放時間
Jun 15, 2026, 8:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Mojtaba Khamenei personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's recent public statements have emphasized diplomacy and potential engagement with Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's Supreme Leader since March 2026, including openness to a meeting contingent on a deal and descriptions of the leader as more rational than his predecessor. Negotiations over a U.S.-Iran ceasefire framework advanced rapidly in mid-June, focusing on reopening the Strait of Hormuz and extending a pause in hostilities after months of conflict. With traders pricing the short window through Friday against this backdrop of deal momentum and restrained rhetoric, the 87.5% implied probability on no public insult reflects the absence of any scheduled events or escalatory signals likely to trigger such an outcome before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Mojtaba Khamenei personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$24結束日期
2026-06-19市場開放時間
Jun 15, 2026, 8:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's recent public statements have emphasized diplomacy and potential engagement with Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's Supreme Leader since March 2026, including openness to a meeting contingent on a deal and descriptions of the leader as more rational than his predecessor. Negotiations over a U.S.-Iran ceasefire framework advanced rapidly in mid-June, focusing on reopening the Strait of Hormuz and extending a pause in hostilities after months of conflict. With traders pricing the short window through Friday against this backdrop of deal momentum and restrained rhetoric, the 87.5% implied probability on no public insult reflects the absence of any scheduled events or escalatory signals likely to trigger such an outcome before the deadline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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